📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated June 12, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

⚠ Market Alert
A broad risk-on rally lifted both large-cap tech (Nasdaq 100 +3.3%) and small-cap stocks (Russell 2000 +3.0%) today, suggesting investor appetite returned despite the Fear & Greed Index sitting at 12—a level typically associated with capitulation and potential bottoms. This divergence between sentiment extremes and price action warrants caution, as such recoveries can be sharp but fragile if underlying catalysts don't hold.
AI Morning Briefing

Equities surged across all major indices today, with the Nasdaq 100 leading the charge at +3.29% while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones gained 1.75% and 1.86% respectively, defying the extreme fear sentiment reflected in the Fear & Greed Index reading of 12. Treasury yields held steady at 4.46% as crude oil retreated 2.42%, while the VIX remained subdued at 19.04, suggesting investors are pushing through pessimistic positioning to chase gains in growth-heavy tech. Bitcoin gained modestly at +0.99%, indicating cautious appetite for risk assets amid persistent inflation at 4.27% and stable unemployment at 4.30%.

Watch today: Monitor whether the Fear & Greed Index reverses course from extreme fear as equities continue higher—a significant disconnect that could signal either capitulation buying or a false bottom in sentiment. If tech continues outpacing defensives, watch the 10-year yield for any break above 4.50%, which could constrain valuations despite today's rally.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $51,554.00 (+635.00, +1.25%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,432.25 (+25.50, +0.34%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $29,606.50 (+77.00, +0.26%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $2,942.10 (+18.60, +0.64%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $295.63 (-0.17, -0.06%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $390.34 (-2.39, -0.61%)
Amazon (AMZN) $241.51 (-0.79, -0.33%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $357.77 (-2.40, -0.67%)
Meta (META) $568.43 (-4.41, -0.77%)
Tesla (TSLA) $399.15 (+0.15, +0.04%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $204.87 (-1.11, -0.54%)
📊 Sector Performance
Health Care (XLV) $154.09 (+0.54, +0.35%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $85.27 (+0.20, +0.24%)
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) $116.30 (+0.12, +0.10%)
Utilities (XLU) $44.05 (+0.02, +0.05%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $44.92 (+0.02, +0.04%)
Financials (XLF) $52.62 (+0.02, +0.04%)
Energy (XLE) $57.12 (-0.02, -0.04%)
Industrials (XLI) $175.15 (-0.09, -0.05%)
Materials (XLB) $51.22 (-0.05, -0.10%)
Technology (XLK) $183.21 (-0.90, -0.49%)
Communication Services (XLC) $112.12 (-0.67, -0.59%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $63,765.00 (+0.99% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $1,674.90 (+0.69% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $66.91 (+2.24% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.14 (+2.04% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.17 (+3.15% 24h)
Fear & Greed 12 – Extreme Fear
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $4.146/gal EIA week ending 2026-06-08
US Avg Diesel $5.210/gal EIA week ending 2026-06-08
Crude Oil (WTI) $84.19 (-2.09, -2.42%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,228.00 (+7.10, +0.17%)
Silver (SI=F) $67.14 (-0.14, -0.22%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥160.14 (+0.13, +0.08%)
EUR/USD 1.1578 (-0.00, -0.07%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 2-Year Treasury 3.623% (-0.012, -0.33%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.463% (-0.079, -1.74%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.52% (+0.62pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $65K @ 94.5% (+0.5pp vs prev)next: $60K @ 89.5% · vol $111K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in June $65K @ 82.5% (+8.0pp vs prev)next: $67K @ 48.5% · vol $651K/24h · ends 2026-07-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 6.5% (-0.5pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 0.2% · vol $36K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026 Yes @ 0.4% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: No @ 99.7% · vol $33K/24h · ends 2026-07-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 18.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 14.5% · vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $60K-$65K @ 9.8% (+0.6pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 8.0% · vol $39K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 4.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 2.5% · vol $12K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 5.0% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $20K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in June $75K @ 10.0% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $78K @ 5.0% · vol $47K/24h · ends 2026-07-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.19/doz (-2.62% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01
Milk, whole $4.22/gal (+1.96% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.95% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-05-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-05-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+1.60% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.82T
CPI – All Items (+4.27% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-05-01
Unemployment Rate 4.3% (+0.00pp MoM)
US National Debt $39.21T (-28.5B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-06-10