📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated June 25, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

⚠ Market Alert
Extreme fear has gripped markets today, with the Fear & Greed Index plummeting to 12, as investors simultaneously fled to safety—evidenced by Treasury yields dropping 9 basis points as money poured into 10-year bonds. This combination signals either a significant risk-off event or mounting recession concerns, making it a critical moment to monitor whether this is a temporary pullback or the start of a broader market repricing.
AI Morning Briefing

Markets showed mixed signals today as the S&P 500 edged down 0.10% while the Dow Jones gained 0.35%, reflecting a rotation toward defensive sectors amid extreme fear sentiment. The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.43%, with tech bearing the brunt of selling pressure, while Bitcoin declined 1.81% as risk appetite weakens. The Fear & Greed Index at 12 signals capitulation, yet Treasury yields holding at 4.40% and sticky inflation at 4.27% year-over-year suggest lingering economic concerns constraining upside momentum.

Watch today: Monitor the 10-year yield at 4.40%—if it breaks higher, it could accelerate tech selling; if it rolls over, it may signal a shift toward risk-on. Watch for any Fed commentary today that might validate or challenge the current fear narrative.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $52,386.00 (+89.00, +0.17%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,478.75 (+9.25, +0.12%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $30,140.50 (+103.75, +0.35%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $3,016.10 (-1.90, -0.06%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $293.08 (+2.28, +0.78%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $365.46 (+0.07, +0.02%)
Amazon (AMZN) $234.27 (+1.22, +0.52%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $345.29 (+3.16, +0.92%)
Meta (META) $557.67 (-1.02, -0.18%)
Tesla (TSLA) $375.53 (-2.47, -0.65%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $199.00 (-1.69, -0.84%)
📊 Sector Performance
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) $115.07 (+1.70, +1.50%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $84.44 (+0.66, +0.79%)
Utilities (XLU) $45.54 (+0.19, +0.42%)
Health Care (XLV) $153.35 (+0.58, +0.38%)
Communication Services (XLC) $106.54 (+0.35, +0.33%)
Energy (XLE) $53.57 (+0.12, +0.22%)
Financials (XLF) $53.72 (-0.02, -0.04%)
Materials (XLB) $51.16 (-0.10, -0.20%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $44.51 (-0.09, -0.20%)
Industrials (XLI) $180.21 (-0.94, -0.52%)
Technology (XLK) $183.05 (-5.00, -2.66%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $61,188.00 (-1.81% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $1,628.87 (-1.65% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $68.06 (-1.03% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.07 (-1.27% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.15 (+0.52% 24h)
Fear & Greed 12 – Extreme Fear
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $3.914/gal EIA week ending 2026-06-22
US Avg Diesel $4.832/gal EIA week ending 2026-06-22
Crude Oil (WTI) $69.50 (+0.17, +0.25%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $3,996.50 (-15.90, -0.40%)
Silver (SI=F) $57.13 (-0.39, -0.67%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥161.90 (+0.13, +0.08%)
EUR/USD 1.1342 (-0.00, -0.15%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 2-Year Treasury 3.690% (-0.000, -0.00%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.402% (-0.091, -2.03%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.47% (-0.77pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $55K @ 76.0% (-13.5pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 69.5% · vol $438K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in June $57K @ 24.4% (+8.1pp vs prev)next: $55K @ 8.6% · vol $1.7M/24h · ends 2026-07-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 4.3% (-0.4pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 0.1% · vol $53K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026 Yes @ 0.1% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: No @ 99.9% · vol $44K/24h · ends 2026-07-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 16.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 12.5% · vol $22K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $65K-$70K @ 10.0% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 8.7% · vol $76K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 4.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 1.5% · vol $11K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 5.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)vol $31K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in June $78K @ 1.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $75K @ 1.5% · vol $47K/24h · ends 2026-07-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.19/doz (-2.62% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01
Milk, whole $4.22/gal (+1.96% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.95% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-05-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-05-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+1.60% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.82T
CPI – All Items (+4.27% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-05-01
Unemployment Rate 4.3% (+0.00pp MoM)
US National Debt $39.32T (-3.1B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-06-23