📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated June 26, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

⚠ Market Alert
The Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 13, signaling extreme fear in markets as investors reassess risk appetite amid likely headwinds such as economic data, geopolitical developments, or earnings concerns. This level historically precedes either capitulation selling that can mark market bottoms or signals deteriorating sentiment that warrants cautious positioning across equities and credit-sensitive assets.
AI Morning Briefing

Markets showed mixed signals today as the S&P 500 essentially flatlined while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.75%, suggesting a tech-driven rally amid broad uncertainty. The VIX holding at 20 and the Fear & Greed Index at extreme fear levels reveal investor caution despite modest equity gains, while crypto weakness—Bitcoin down 3%—signals risk-off sentiment. Sticky inflation at 4.27% and a 4.39% 10-year yield continue to weigh on sentiment even as crude oil slipped 1.23%.

Watch today: Monitor how tech momentum sustains into tomorrow's session—if the Nasdaq's outperformance reverses while the broader market stays under pressure, it could signal the rally is fragile. Watch for any Fed commentary or economic data that might validate the extreme fear reading and justify current yield levels.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $52,276.00 (+14.00, +0.03%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,386.75 (+5.75, +0.08%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $29,375.00 (+18.50, +0.06%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $3,013.80 (-3.10, -0.10%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $275.15 (-1.14, -0.41%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $352.83 (-2.57, -0.72%)
Amazon (AMZN) $227.01 (-0.00, -0.00%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $343.71 (-0.17, -0.05%)
Meta (META) $542.87 (-2.11, -0.39%)
Tesla (TSLA) $375.12 (+0.72, +0.19%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $195.74 (+0.94, +0.48%)
📊 Sector Performance
Technology (XLK) $184.57 (+0.40, +0.22%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $44.59 (+0.02, +0.03%)
Health Care (XLV) $155.63 (-0.03, -0.02%)
Energy (XLE) $54.09 (-0.07, -0.13%)
Materials (XLB) $51.84 (-0.07, -0.13%)
Industrials (XLI) $184.12 (-0.25, -0.14%)
Utilities (XLU) $45.85 (-0.08, -0.17%)
Communication Services (XLC) $105.58 (-0.25, -0.24%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $83.94 (-0.24, -0.29%)
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) $113.35 (-0.37, -0.33%)
Financials (XLF) $53.45 (-0.19, -0.36%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $59,342.00 (-3.00% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $1,544.61 (-5.16% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $68.57 (+0.76% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.02 (-4.25% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.14 (-2.50% 24h)
Fear & Greed 13 – Extreme Fear
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $3.914/gal EIA week ending 2026-06-22
US Avg Diesel $4.832/gal EIA week ending 2026-06-22
Crude Oil (WTI) $69.72 (-0.87, -1.23%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,067.60 (+49.00, +1.22%)
Silver (SI=F) $58.79 (+2.16, +3.81%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥161.62 (-0.17, -0.10%)
EUR/USD 1.1408 (+0.00, +0.31%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 2-Year Treasury 3.680% (-0.010, -0.27%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.392% (-0.010, -0.23%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.49% (+0.31pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $55K @ 77.0% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $50K @ 63.0% · vol $260K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in June $57K @ 55.2% (+30.8pp vs prev)next: $62K @ 30.5% · vol $1.6M/24h · ends 2026-07-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 4.5% (+0.2pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 0.1% · vol $5K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026 Yes @ 0.1% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: No @ 100.0% · vol $5K/24h · ends 2026-07-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 15.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 10.5% · vol $30K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $65K-$70K @ 8.6% (-1.4pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 8.1% · vol $89K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 5.0% (+0.5pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 1.5% · vol $13K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 4.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)vol $35K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in June $92K @ 0.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $90K @ 0.5% · vol $35K/24h · ends 2026-07-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.19/doz (-2.62% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01
Milk, whole $4.22/gal (+1.96% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.95% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-05-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-05-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T
CPI – All Items (+4.27% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-05-01
Unemployment Rate 4.3% (+0.00pp MoM)
US National Debt $39.32T (-0.1B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-06-24