📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated July 1, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

⚠ Market Alert
The Fear & Greed Index has plummeted to 11, signaling extreme fear in markets and suggesting investors are heavily repricing risk across assets. This level of capitulation typically precedes either capitulation-driven bounces or further downside, making it a critical inflection point worth monitoring for potential opportunities or further deterioration.
AI Morning Briefing

Tech stocks surged today with the Nasdaq 100 climbing 1.68% while the S&P 500 gained 0.79%, driven by a sharp divergence in sector rotation. Despite the equity gains, the Fear & Greed Index remains in extreme fear territory at 11, signaling underlying investor anxiety even as growth names rally. Oil retreated 1.15% and Bitcoin dipped 0.86%, suggesting some caution in risk assets, while the 10-year yield holding above 4.4% continues to reflect persistent inflation concerns with CPI still elevated at 4.27%.

Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield movement through the close; any break below 4.40% could signal a flight-to-safety that could cap the tech rally, while a hold above 4.45% would reinforce the disinflationary narrative supporting growth stocks.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $52,577.00 (+78.00, +0.15%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,537.50 (+5.25, +0.07%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $30,410.75 (-56.00, -0.18%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $3,037.70 (+2.70, +0.09%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $289.36 (+0.36, +0.12%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $373.02 (-2.53, -0.67%)
Amazon (AMZN) $238.34 (-0.96, -0.40%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $357.37 (-0.23, -0.06%)
Meta (META) $563.29 (+1.71, +0.30%)
Tesla (TSLA) $420.60 (+4.61, +1.11%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $200.09 (+0.56, +0.28%)
📊 Sector Performance
Materials (XLB) $50.83 (+0.13, +0.26%)
Financials (XLF) $53.61 (+0.11, +0.21%)
Industrials (XLI) $185.23 (+0.35, +0.19%)
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) $117.28 (+0.13, +0.11%)
Health Care (XLV) $158.66 (+0.06, +0.04%)
Technology (XLK) $190.52 (+0.02, +0.01%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $44.03 (-0.01, -0.01%)
Utilities (XLU) $45.34 (-0.01, -0.02%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $83.07 (-0.07, -0.08%)
Energy (XLE) $53.11 (-0.09, -0.17%)
Communication Services (XLC) $107.13 (-0.58, -0.54%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $58,623.00 (-0.86% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $1,571.06 (-0.35% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $75.00 (+2.28% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.04 (-0.05% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.15 (+4.97% 24h)
Fear & Greed 11 – Extreme Fear
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) N/A EIA week ending 2026-06-29
US Avg Diesel $4.668/gal EIA week ending 2026-06-29
Crude Oil (WTI) $69.01 (-0.80, -1.15%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,036.30 (+43.40, +1.09%)
Silver (SI=F) $59.18 (+0.93, +1.60%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥162.70 (+0.09, +0.06%)
EUR/USD 1.1399 (-0.00, -0.22%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 2-Year Treasury 3.732% (+0.052, +1.41%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.418% (+0.044, +1.01%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.49% (+0.31pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $55K @ 82.0% (-5.0pp vs prev)next: $65K @ 75.5% · vol $225K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 4.3% (-0.1pp vs prev)vol $4K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 14.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 10.5% · vol $19K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $55K-$60K @ 10.4% (+1.3pp vs prev)next: $50K-$55K @ 8.6% · vol $87K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 4.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 1.5% · vol $4K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 4.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $5K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.19/doz (-2.62% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01
Milk, whole $4.22/gal (+1.96% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.95% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-05-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-05-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T
CPI – All Items (+4.27% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-05-01
Unemployment Rate 4.3% (+0.00pp MoM)
US National Debt $39.35T (+7.8B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-06-29