Markets show conflicting signals as the Dow surges 1.14% while the Nasdaq 100 drops 1.61%, leaving the S&P 500 flat—a classic divergence favoring value over growth. The Fear & Greed Index sits at extreme fear (24), despite modest gains in crude oil and Bitcoin, while the 10-year yield holds steady at 4.49% with inflation still elevated at 4.27%. This disconnect suggests investors are rotating defensively while monitoring sticky price pressures.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield closely; if it breaks above 4.50% amid CPI concerns, it could accelerate the tech selloff and pressure growth stocks further. Watch whether this is a temporary rotation or the start of a broader risk-off move.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,165.00 (+3.00, +0.01%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,560.75 (+19.50, +0.26%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,872.25 (+153.50, +0.52%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,018.50 (+9.70, +0.32%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $308.63 (+0.19, +0.06%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $390.49 (-0.33, -0.08%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $242.67 (-0.32, -0.13%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $359.91 (+0.42, +0.12%) |
| Meta (META) | $582.90 (-2.10, -0.36%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $393.45 (-0.95, -0.24%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $194.83 (+0.43, +0.22%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $53.22 (+0.08, +0.15%) |
| Health Care (XLV) | $163.74 (+0.11, +0.07%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $45.76 (+0.03, +0.07%) |
| Consumer Discretionary (XLY) | $117.12 (+0.03, +0.03%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $52.01 (+0.01, +0.02%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $109.60 (+0.01, +0.01%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.68 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $84.99 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Financials (XLF) | $55.62 (-0.02, -0.03%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $183.91 (-0.07, -0.04%) |
| Technology (XLK) | $180.59 (-1.38, -0.76%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $62,815.00 (+0.36% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,767.79 (+0.52% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $80.76 (+0.50% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.14 (+0.89% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.18 (-1.96% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 24 – Extreme Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $3.831/gal EIA week ending 2026-06-29 |
| US Avg Diesel | $4.668/gal EIA week ending 2026-06-29 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $68.65 (+0.23, +0.34%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,169.20 (-7.80, -0.19%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $62.58 (+0.28, +0.46%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥162.30 (+0.97, +0.60%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1421 (-0.00, -0.17%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.668% (-0.032, -0.86%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.485% (+0.010, +0.22%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.43% (-0.92pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $65K @ 88.5% (+4.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 69.0% · vol $102K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in July | $65K @ 71.5% (-15.0pp vs prev)next: $67K @ 44.5% · vol $617K/24h · ends 2026-08-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 4.3% (+0.1pp vs prev)vol $172/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 12.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 9.5% · vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 11.6% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $55K-$60K @ 9.0% · vol $87K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 4.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 1.0% · vol $29K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 4.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $17K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in July | $65K @ 67.5% (+13.0pp vs prev)next: $68K @ 38.5% · vol $109K/24h · ends 2026-08-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (-2.62% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.22/gal (+1.96% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.95% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-05-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-05-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T |
| CPI – All Items | (+4.27% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-05-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.38T (-14.1B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-02 |