Tech stocks led a broader market decline, with the Nasdaq 100 falling 1.77% while the S&P 500 slipped 0.45%, signaling sector rotation and renewed caution despite stable equities overall. The Fear & Greed Index crashed to extreme fear territory at 20, reflecting investor anxiety that hasn't fully infected bond markets, where the 10-year yield holds at 4.53% and gold remains elevated at $4,061. Crude oil surged 2.78% to $74.27 amid geopolitical concerns, while Bitcoin mirrored equity weakness with a 1.73% drop, suggesting tech-sensitive assets are repricing downward amid persistent inflation at 4.27%.
Watch today: Monitor crude oil's momentum above $74 and watch for any hawkish signals on rates, as the combination of elevated energy prices and sticky inflation could pressure equities further if the 10-year yield breaks above 4.60% later today.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $52,609.00 (-530.00, -1.00%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,484.50 (-70.25, -0.93%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $28,995.75 (-475.00, -1.61%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $2,964.20 (-35.50, -1.18%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $310.66 (-0.76, -0.24%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $388.84 (+0.79, +0.20%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $245.98 (+0.81, +0.33%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $367.03 (+0.28, +0.08%) |
| Meta (META) | $615.58 (-1.40, -0.23%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $402.90 (-0.88, -0.22%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $196.93 (+1.04, +0.53%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $581.45 (+5.55, +0.96%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $182.38 (+0.19, +0.10%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $45.70 (+0.02, +0.04%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $75.07 (+0.03, +0.04%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $109.41 (+0.03, +0.03%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $163.87 (+0.04, +0.02%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $84.86 (+0.02, +0.02%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $111.02 (-0.08, -0.07%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.89 (-0.04, -0.09%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $51.51 (-0.07, -0.13%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $54.64 (-0.31, -0.56%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $62,020.00 (-1.73% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,736.10 (-2.21% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $77.05 (-4.76% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.08 (-3.69% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.17 (-6.01% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 20 – Extreme Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $3.777/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-06 |
| US Avg Diesel | $4.578/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-06 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $74.27 (+2.01, +2.78%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,061.20 (-72.50, -1.75%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $58.87 (-1.90, -3.13%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥162.49 (+0.31, +0.19%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1409 (-0.00, -0.01%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.725% (+0.035, +0.95%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.529% (+0.050, +1.12%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.43% (-0.92pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $65K @ 85.5% (-6.5pp vs prev)next: $55K @ 70.5% · vol $211K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in July | $60K @ 72.0% (-0.5pp vs prev)next: $65K @ 61.5% · vol $1.1M/24h · ends 2026-08-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 4.0% (-0.2pp vs prev)vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 12.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 8.5% · vol $6K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 10.8% (-0.4pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 9.4% · vol $60K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 4.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 1.0% · vol $13K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $44K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in July | $65K @ 58.5% (-10.0pp vs prev)next: $68K @ 35.5% · vol $129K/24h · ends 2026-08-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (-2.62% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.22/gal (+1.96% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.95% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-05-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-05-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T |
| CPI – All Items | (+4.27% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-05-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.39T (+11.9B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-06 |