Markets posted modest gains today with the S&P 500 rising 0.81% and the Nasdaq 100 outperforming with a 1.62% jump, though the Dow lagged at just 0.27%. Despite the positive equity moves, the Fear & Greed Index remains deeply anchored in extreme fear at 23, signaling persistent investor anxiety beneath the surface. Bitcoin surged 2.77% while crude oil held steady, with the 10-year yield holding firm at 4.54% as inflation remains elevated at 4.27% year-over-year.
Watch today: Monitor whether the extreme fear reading becomes a contrarian buy signal or signals deeper concerns ahead—if equities continue climbing while Fear & Greed stays below 25, it could indicate capitulation weakness rather than conviction-driven buying.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $52,876.00 (+138.00, +0.26%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,591.00 (+7.50, +0.10%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,881.25 (-49.25, -0.16%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,008.60 (+6.80, +0.23%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $316.22 (+1.01, +0.32%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $384.36 (+0.25, +0.07%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $247.04 (+0.84, +0.34%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $358.89 (+1.34, +0.38%) |
| Meta (META) | $631.48 (-8.36, -1.31%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $406.55 (+1.45, +0.36%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $202.78 (+0.46, +0.23%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $107.61 (+0.84, +0.79%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $74.65 (+0.19, +0.26%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $164.28 (+0.33, +0.20%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.23 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $110.51 (-0.10, -0.09%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $45.13 (-0.05, -0.11%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $607.73 (-1.06, -0.17%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $54.82 (-0.10, -0.18%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $83.20 (-0.21, -0.25%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $50.26 (-0.19, -0.38%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $181.11 (-1.38, -0.76%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $64,378.00 (+2.77% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,796.57 (+3.19% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $79.34 (+2.49% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.11 (+1.93% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.17 (-0.08% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 23 – Extreme Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $3.777/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-06 |
| US Avg Diesel | $4.578/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-06 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $72.32 (-0.07, -0.10%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,116.90 (-12.60, -0.31%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $59.94 (-0.83, -1.37%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥161.82 (-0.53, -0.33%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1432 (-0.00, -0.03%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.682% (-0.041, -1.10%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.539% (-0.030, -0.66%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.49% (+0.93pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $65K @ 94.5% (+4.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 73.5% · vol $93K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in July | $65K @ 90.5% (+24.0pp vs prev)next: $62K @ 72.5% · vol $534K/24h · ends 2026-08-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 4.3% (+0.3pp vs prev)vol $2K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 13.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 8.5% · vol $13K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 12.6% (+1.7pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 9.0% · vol $69K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 1.0% · vol $18K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $30K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in July | $65K @ 88.5% (+25.0pp vs prev)next: $68K @ 52.5% · vol $141K/24h · ends 2026-08-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (-2.62% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.95% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-05-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-05-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T |
| CPI – All Items | (+4.27% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-05-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.39T (-20.0B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-08 |