U.S. equities posted modest gains across all major indices, with the S&P 500 up 0.42% and the Nasdaq 100 climbing 0.33%, though breadth remains constrained as the Fear & Greed Index sits at 28, signaling prevailing caution. Treasury yields held steady around 4.57% while inflation remains elevated at 4.27% year-over-year, creating an uncertain backdrop for rate expectations. Bitcoin fell 1.37% and crude oil slipped 0.43%, reflecting softer risk appetite despite equity resilience.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year yield closely—any move above 4.60% would signal renewed inflation concerns and could pressure equity valuations given the elevated CPI backdrop. The divergence between modest equity gains and persistent fear sentiment suggests fragile conviction that could break either direction on incoming data.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $52,857.00 (+165.00, +0.31%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,595.75 (+12.00, +0.16%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,748.75 (+53.50, +0.18%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $2,987.70 (+14.30, +0.48%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $315.32 (+0.35, +0.11%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $385.10 (-0.25, -0.06%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $245.34 (-0.40, -0.16%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $357.18 (+0.01, +0.00%) |
| Meta (META) | $669.21 (+1.21, +0.18%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $407.76 (+0.17, +0.04%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $210.96 (+0.39, +0.19%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $55.08 (+0.15, +0.27%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $84.12 (+0.12, +0.14%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $50.89 (+0.07, +0.14%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $159.03 (+0.17, +0.11%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.45 (+0.01, +0.02%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $181.92 (+0.04, +0.02%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $45.41 (-0.02, -0.04%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $111.64 (-0.07, -0.06%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $75.02 (-0.08, -0.11%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $611.03 (-1.97, -0.32%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $108.61 (-0.77, -0.70%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $62,982.00 (-1.37% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,780.85 (-1.01% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $76.40 (-0.50% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.08 (-1.43% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.16 (-2.53% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 28 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $3.777/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-06 |
| US Avg Diesel | $4.578/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-06 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $73.97 (-0.32, -0.43%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,068.40 (+1.00, +0.02%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $58.79 (+0.23, +0.40%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥162.09 (+0.42, +0.26%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1432 (+0.00, +0.11%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.695% (+0.013, +0.35%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.569% (+0.030, +0.66%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.49% (+0.93pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $65K @ 93.0% (-1.5pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 72.5% · vol $134K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in July | $62K @ 91.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $65K @ 69.5% · vol $638K/24h · ends 2026-08-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.9% (-0.4pp vs prev)vol $1K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 14.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 10.5% · vol $4K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $60K-$65K @ 10.9% (-1.7pp vs prev)next: $65K-$70K @ 10.1% · vol $55K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $7K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $15K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in July | $65K @ 63.5% (-25.0pp vs prev)next: $68K @ 38.5% · vol $122K/24h · ends 2026-08-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (-2.62% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.22/gal (+1.96% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-05-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T |
| CPI – All Items | (+4.27% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-05-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.41T (+19.2B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-09 |