📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated July 14, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

AI Morning Briefing

Equities retreated across the board today, with the Nasdaq 100 leading losses at nearly 1.9% while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones fell more modestly, suggesting a tech-driven selloff. The Fear & Greed Index has swung to extreme fear territory at 22, reflecting investor anxiety despite a relatively contained VIX at 17.38. Treasury yields held steady above 4.6% as inflation remains sticky at 4.27%, keeping rate-cut expectations in check while oil edged higher, adding to cost pressures.

Watch today: Monitor the CPI trend and Fed communications closely — with inflation still elevated at 4.27% and the Fear & Greed Index in extreme fear, any hawkish signals could deepen the tech selloff, while softer data could spark a relief rally. Watch the Nasdaq's technical support levels as the 1.9% drop may trigger cascading sell programs if momentum breaks lower.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $52,305.00 (-292.00, -0.56%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,556.50 (+12.50, +0.17%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $29,640.50 (+217.00, +0.74%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $2,970.50 (+8.90, +0.30%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $317.31 (-0.57, -0.18%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $390.99 (+1.28, +0.33%)
Amazon (AMZN) $247.31 (+0.62, +0.25%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $352.51 (-0.57, -0.16%)
Meta (META) $656.73 (+0.79, +0.12%)
Tesla (TSLA) $394.76 (+1.74, +0.44%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $203.53 (+0.28, +0.14%)
📊 Sector Performance
Biotech (XBI) $155.34 (+1.01, +0.66%)
Homebuilders (XHB) $107.07 (+0.47, +0.44%)
Industrials (XLI) $180.37 (+0.71, +0.40%)
Semiconductors (SMH) $585.62 (+1.74, +0.30%)
Materials (XLB) $50.58 (+0.15, +0.30%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $44.70 (+0.00, +0.00%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $84.59 (-0.02, -0.02%)
Utilities (XLU) $45.72 (-0.01, -0.02%)
Communication Services (XLC) $111.59 (-0.07, -0.06%)
Regional Banks (KRE) $75.12 (-0.11, -0.15%)
Energy (XLE) $56.74 (-0.24, -0.42%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $62,792.00 (-0.30% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $1,799.45 (+1.05% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $75.44 (-1.19% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.07 (-0.85% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.16 (-0.74% 24h)
Fear & Greed 22 – Extreme Fear
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $3.777/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-06
US Avg Diesel $4.578/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-06
Crude Oil (WTI) $80.32 (+0.69, +0.87%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,032.40 (+9.80, +0.24%)
Silver (SI=F) $58.24 (+0.26, +0.46%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥162.22 (-0.21, -0.13%)
EUR/USD 1.1400 (+0.00, +0.14%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 2-Year Treasury 3.728% (+0.033, +0.89%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.609% (+0.040, +0.88%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.49% (+0.93pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $65K @ 91.3% (-1.7pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 68.5% · vol $169K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in July $65K @ 63.5% (-28.0pp vs prev)next: $60K @ 55.5% · vol $686K/24h · ends 2026-08-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 3.8% (-0.1pp vs prev)vol $6K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 15.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 9.5% · vol $4K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $65K-$70K @ 10.2% (-0.7pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 8.8% · vol $107K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 4.0% (+0.5pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $16K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 4.0% (+0.5pp vs prev)vol $63K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in July $65K @ 61.5% (-2.0pp vs prev)next: $68K @ 30.5% · vol $61K/24h · ends 2026-08-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Milk, whole $4.22/gal (+1.96% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-05-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.95% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-05-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-05-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T
CPI – All Items (+4.27% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-05-01
Unemployment Rate 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM)
US National Debt $39.41T (-1.2B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-10