Nasdaq outperformed with a 1.10% gain while the Dow essentially flatlined, reflecting a significant divergence in market breadth despite broad S&P 500 strength at +0.38%. The Fear & Greed Index sits in extreme fear territory at 25, yet equities remain resilient and Bitcoin surged 2.82%, suggesting contrarian positioning ahead of sticky inflation at 3.73% YoY. Treasury yields hold firm at 4.58% as markets digest mixed signals between economic momentum and persistent price pressures.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield around 4.58%—a break higher could pressure valuations while a dip might trigger rotation from growth to value. This technical level is critical given the extreme fear reading and will heavily influence whether today's tech strength holds into the close.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $52,791.00 (-54.00, -0.10%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,600.75 (-6.50, -0.09%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,931.75 (-82.25, -0.27%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $2,979.00 (-4.70, -0.16%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $314.86 (-0.64, -0.20%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $384.93 (-1.57, -0.41%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $247.49 (-0.80, -0.32%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $359.51 (+0.84, +0.23%) |
| Meta (META) | $661.04 (+0.54, +0.08%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $396.18 (+0.38, +0.10%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $211.80 (-0.02, -0.01%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $108.16 (+1.56, +1.46%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $75.00 (+0.13, +0.17%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $56.95 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $180.45 (-0.05, -0.03%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $111.45 (-0.04, -0.04%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.48 (-0.02, -0.04%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $50.64 (-0.14, -0.28%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $45.69 (-0.13, -0.28%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $83.42 (-0.38, -0.45%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $155.45 (-0.73, -0.47%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $600.31 (-3.69, -0.61%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $64,584.00 (+2.82% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,876.61 (+4.36% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $77.31 (+2.58% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.11 (+3.45% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.16 (+3.98% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 25 – Extreme Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $3.855/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-13 |
| US Avg Diesel | $4.796/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-13 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $79.83 (-0.10, -0.13%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,035.70 (-2.20, -0.05%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $58.23 (-0.51, -0.87%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥162.37 (+0.15, +0.09%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1419 (-0.00, -0.05%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.700% (-0.028, -0.75%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.585% (-0.024, -0.52%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.49% (+0.93pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $70K @ 77.5% (-13.8pp vs prev)next: $75K @ 51.5% · vol $268K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in July | $62K @ 64.0% (+0.5pp vs prev)next: $67K @ 52.5% · vol $1.1M/24h · ends 2026-08-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.9% (+0.1pp vs prev)vol $10K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 14.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 9.5% · vol $8K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 12.3% (+2.1pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 8.7% · vol $81K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 4.0% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $15K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (-0.5pp vs prev)vol $23K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in July | $68K @ 47.5% (-14.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 22.5% · vol $206K/24h · ends 2026-08-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.42T (+4.9B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-13 |