📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated July 16, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

AI Morning Briefing

Equities edged higher today with the S&P 500 gaining 0.38% and the Dow advancing 0.29%, though the Nasdaq 100 slipped 0.28% as tech underperformed. The Fear & Greed Index remains deeply in extreme fear territory at 25, signaling investor caution despite the modest equity gains. Treasury yields hold near 4.55% while CPI remains elevated at 3.73%, keeping rate expectations uncertain and pressuring risk appetite across cryptocurrencies and commodities.

Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield; a break above 4.60% could signal renewed inflation concerns and further pressure equities, while the extreme fear reading suggests any negative catalyst could trigger a sharper pullback despite today's resilience.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $52,991.00 (+32.00, +0.06%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,597.00 (-27.00, -0.35%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $29,455.75 (-282.00, -0.95%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $2,979.60 (-17.20, -0.57%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $327.50 (-0.30, -0.09%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $395.63 (-1.53, -0.39%)
Amazon (AMZN) $254.96 (-0.29, -0.11%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $370.92 (-1.18, -0.32%)
Meta (META) $681.31 (+1.41, +0.21%)
Tesla (TSLA) $394.46 (-0.34, -0.09%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $212.50 (+1.25, +0.59%)
📊 Sector Performance
Semiconductors (SMH) $590.77 (+1.77, +0.30%)
Communication Services (XLC) $113.38 (+0.21, +0.19%)
Biotech (XBI) $156.22 (+0.08, +0.05%)
Homebuilders (XHB) $108.92 (-0.00, -0.00%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $83.47 (-0.01, -0.01%)
Industrials (XLI) $180.06 (-0.04, -0.02%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $44.56 (-0.01, -0.02%)
Energy (XLE) $56.50 (-0.03, -0.05%)
Materials (XLB) $50.50 (-0.05, -0.10%)
Regional Banks (KRE) $75.78 (-0.08, -0.11%)
Utilities (XLU) $45.22 (-0.07, -0.15%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $64,170.00 (-0.64% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $1,884.51 (+0.42% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $76.13 (-1.52% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.11 (-0.05% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.16 (-1.24% 24h)
Fear & Greed 25 – Extreme Fear
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $3.855/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-13
US Avg Diesel $4.796/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-13
Crude Oil (WTI) $79.46 (-0.10, -0.13%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,031.90 (-8.80, -0.22%)
Silver (SI=F) $56.83 (-0.69, -1.21%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥162.18 (+0.06, +0.04%)
EUR/USD 1.1464 (-0.00, -0.05%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 2-Year Treasury 3.688% (-0.012, -0.32%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.545% (-0.040, -0.87%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.49% (+0.93pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $70K @ 77.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $75K @ 55.5% · vol $248K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in July $62K @ 69.5% (+5.5pp vs prev)next: $67K @ 44.5% · vol $775K/24h · ends 2026-08-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 3.8% (-0.1pp vs prev)vol $31K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 14.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 9.5% · vol $17K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $65K-$70K @ 10.8% (-1.5pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 8.6% · vol $85K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (-0.5pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $22K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $9K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in July $68K @ 39.5% (-8.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 18.5% · vol $130K/24h · ends 2026-08-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01
Milk, whole $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T
CPI – All Items (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01
Unemployment Rate 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM)
US National Debt $39.47T (+52.2B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-14