Equities declined across the board with the Nasdaq 100 leading losses at -1.49%, while the S&P 500 and Dow fell more modestly. The VIX remains contained near 18, but the Fear & Greed Index has shifted into fear territory at 29, reflecting underlying sentiment concerns. Treasury yields hold steady at 4.54% amid persistent inflation at 3.73%, while crude oil dropped 2.49% and Bitcoin showed relative resilience with only -0.33% movement.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield closely for any break above 4.60%, as a sustained climb could accelerate equity weakness given the 3.73% sticky inflation reading. This will be critical to watch alongside any Fed commentary today that might signal future rate path expectations.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $52,501.00 (+159.00, +0.30%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,525.75 (+20.50, +0.27%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,006.00 (+111.50, +0.39%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $2,986.10 (+14.70, +0.49%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $333.74 (+0.08, +0.02%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $393.82 (+0.31, +0.08%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $247.23 (+0.52, +0.21%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $346.77 (+0.37, +0.11%) |
| Meta (META) | $646.01 (+5.80, +0.91%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $380.84 (+0.81, +0.21%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $202.81 (+0.32, +0.16%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $556.53 (+0.56, +0.10%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $154.26 (+0.13, +0.08%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $76.69 (+0.04, +0.05%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $179.41 (-0.25, -0.14%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $57.68 (-0.09, -0.16%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.42 (-0.08, -0.18%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $45.17 (-0.13, -0.29%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $50.53 (-0.15, -0.30%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $110.65 (-0.51, -0.46%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $85.19 (-0.52, -0.61%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $108.25 (-2.44, -2.20%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $64,285.00 (-0.33% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,872.27 (-0.10% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $76.35 (+0.08% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.09 (-0.36% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.16 (-1.49% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 29 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $3.855/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-13 |
| US Avg Diesel | $4.796/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-13 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $81.56 (-2.08, -2.49%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,026.80 (-1.00, -0.02%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $57.16 (-0.13, -0.24%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥162.37 (+0.01, +0.01%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1440 (-0.00, -0.05%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.707% (+0.010, +0.27%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.541% (-0.028, -0.61%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.55% (+0.92pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $70K @ 74.5% (+7.5pp vs prev)next: $55K @ 50.5% · vol $191K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in July | $62K @ 62.2% (-26.8pp vs prev)next: $67K @ 39.5% · vol $777K/24h · ends 2026-08-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.2% (-0.8pp vs prev)vol $6K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 14.5% (+2.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 10.5% · vol $17K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $60K-$65K @ 9.2% (-0.6pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 8.5% · vol $72K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 5.0% (+1.5pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $59K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $100K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in July | $68K @ 39.5% (+18.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 16.5% · vol $89K/24h · ends 2026-08-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.52T (+30.2B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-16 |