U.S. equities finished mixed with the S&P 500 and Dow declining modestly while the Nasdaq held nearly flat, reflecting rotational weakness in value-heavy sectors. The Fear & Greed Index signaled extreme fear at 25 despite a relatively benign VIX of 17.72, suggesting investor anxiety persists beneath the surface. Bitcoin surged 2.91% and crude oil rose 1.78%, pointing to renewed risk appetite in commodities even as bond yields held steady at 4.60% and inflation remains elevated at 3.73%.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield around 4.60% — if it breaks decisively lower, it could signal flight-to-safety flows that accelerate equity selling; if it holds or rises, the inflation narrative may reassert dominance and support cyclicals and commodities.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $52,232.00 (+37.00, +0.07%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,515.75 (+4.00, +0.05%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,128.25 (+70.00, +0.24%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $2,970.20 (+0.10, +0.00%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $326.59 (+0.60, +0.18%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $402.29 (+1.27, +0.32%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $249.99 (+0.54, +0.22%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $351.99 (-1.44, -0.41%) |
| Meta (META) | $645.85 (+2.07, +0.32%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $369.57 (-0.93, -0.25%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $203.28 (+0.19, +0.09%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $110.80 (+0.20, +0.18%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.23 (+0.03, +0.07%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $84.86 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $44.94 (-0.04, -0.09%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $75.89 (-0.08, -0.10%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $178.12 (-0.21, -0.12%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $50.03 (-0.07, -0.14%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $57.94 (-0.11, -0.19%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $558.83 (-1.07, -0.19%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $150.94 (-0.42, -0.28%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $106.07 (-2.81, -2.58%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $66,160.00 (+2.91% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,926.78 (+2.90% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $78.14 (+2.28% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.13 (+3.24% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.17 (+6.88% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 25 – Extreme Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $3.855/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-13 |
| US Avg Diesel | $4.796/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-13 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $83.65 (+1.46, +1.78%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,062.50 (+11.60, +0.29%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $59.14 (+1.03, +1.78%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥162.73 (+0.24, +0.15%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1425 (+0.00, +0.07%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.705% (-0.002, -0.05%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.598% (+0.057, +1.26%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.55% (+0.92pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $70K @ 81.5% (+7.0pp vs prev)next: $60K @ 72.5% · vol $217K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in July | $65K @ 76.1% (+13.9pp vs prev)next: $67K @ 73.5% · vol $1.1M/24h · ends 2026-08-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.0% (-0.2pp vs prev)vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 15.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 9.5% · vol $23K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $60K-$65K @ 9.8% (+0.6pp vs prev)next: $65K-$70K @ 9.7% · vol $91K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 4.0% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $27K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $33K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in July | $68K @ 71.5% (+32.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 31.5% · vol $171K/24h · ends 2026-08-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.58T (+63.0B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-17 |