Markets showed mixed signals today with the S&P 500 essentially flat while the Dow gained 0.51%, suggesting a rotation toward value stocks. The Nasdaq 100 slipped 0.32% as tech faced headwinds, while the Fear & Greed Index remained in fear territory at 29. Bitcoin dropped 2.70% to $63,399, and crude oil declined slightly, though the 10-year Treasury yield held steady at 4.64% with inflation persisting at 3.73%.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year yield for any break above 4.65% ahead of this week's economic calendar; a sustained move higher could pressure growth stocks further and reinforce the tech underperformance seen today.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $52,730.00 (+313.00, +0.60%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,445.25 (+4.50, +0.06%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $27,940.25 (-110.50, -0.39%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $2,959.80 (+2.90, +0.10%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $336.91 (-0.59, -0.17%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $389.10 (-0.40, -0.10%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $231.39 (-0.15, -0.06%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $326.56 (-0.43, -0.13%) |
| Meta (META) | $593.87 (-1.87, -0.31%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $309.22 (+1.12, +0.36%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $196.51 (+0.37, +0.19%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $548.55 (+1.96, +0.36%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $85.36 (+0.09, +0.11%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $107.66 (+0.04, +0.04%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $51.39 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $109.24 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $75.52 (-0.02, -0.02%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $45.68 (-0.02, -0.04%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $58.36 (-0.03, -0.06%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $183.20 (-0.30, -0.16%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $150.59 (-0.36, -0.24%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.76 (-0.17, -0.37%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $63,399.00 (-2.70% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,873.01 (-4.40% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $72.98 (-4.30% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.05 (-4.80% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.16 (-5.00% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 29 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.001/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-20 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.134/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-20 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $81.06 (-0.50, -0.61%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,029.30 (-20.30, -0.50%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $57.53 (-0.06, -0.10%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥163.92 (+0.18, +0.11%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1369 (-0.00, -0.03%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.797% (-0.008, -0.21%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.641% (-0.038, -0.81%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.58% (+0.46pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $60K @ 79.0% (+2.5pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 70.5% · vol $87K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in July | $62K @ 66.0% (+30.5pp vs prev)next: $60K @ 15.5% · vol $1.4M/24h · ends 2026-08-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.7% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $108/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 14.5% (-2.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 7.5% · vol $5K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 12.2% (+0.9pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 10.6% · vol $45K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 4.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $7K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $24K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in July | $68K @ 6.5% (-31.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 2.5% · vol $245K/24h · ends 2026-08-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.10% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-01-01 · level: $31.87T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.69T (+15.4B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-24 |