Equities posted modest gains across major indices this morning, with the S&P 500 rising 0.70% and the Nasdaq holding steady at +0.60%, suggesting measured strength in large-cap stocks. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 28, reflecting cautious sentiment despite positive equity movement, while Bitcoin slipped 0.80% and treasury yields hold firm at 4.74%. Inflation remains elevated at 3.73% year-over-year with unemployment stable at 4.20%, keeping the macro backdrop mixed as markets balance resilience with underlying economic headwinds.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year treasury yield at 4.74% — any breakout above 4.75% could trigger profit-taking in equities and weigh on growth stocks, especially given the persistent 3.73% inflation reading that limits Fed easing expectations. Watch this level closely as it's a key inflection point for risk appetite.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,141.00 (+235.00, +0.44%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,563.50 (+1.25, +0.02%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $28,504.25 (-170.25, -0.59%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $2,961.10 (+5.10, +0.17%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $308.91 (+1.57, +0.51%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $464.72 (+2.87, +0.62%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $271.58 (+1.08, +0.40%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $356.13 (+1.93, +0.54%) |
| Meta (META) | $556.71 (+2.81, +0.51%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $311.21 (+1.95, +0.63%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $200.75 (+1.80, +0.91%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $50.43 (+0.12, +0.23%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $540.53 (+1.23, +0.23%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $179.84 (+0.35, +0.19%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $147.01 (+0.27, +0.18%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $76.06 (+0.04, +0.05%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.07 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $108.24 (-0.01, -0.01%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $85.05 (-0.01, -0.01%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $44.35 (-0.05, -0.11%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $103.69 (-0.80, -0.77%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $59.55 (-0.67, -1.11%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $62,676.00 (-0.80% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,843.83 (-1.30% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $72.49 (-1.00% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.06 (-1.10% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.19 (-0.40% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 28 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.096/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-27 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.313/gal EIA week ending 2026-07-27 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $79.70 (-0.09, -0.11%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,104.40 (-15.60, -0.38%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $58.03 (-0.37, -0.63%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥156.96 (-0.44, -0.28%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1525 (-0.00, -0.02%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.682% (+0.007, +0.19%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.745% (+0.082, +1.76%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.66% (+1.22pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $60K @ 80.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 65.5% · vol $159K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $65K @ 70.0% next: $60K @ 63.5% · vol $547K/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.5% (+0.3pp vs prev)vol $1K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 12.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 7.5% · vol $2K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 13.4% (-0.3pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 11.9% · vol $102K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $15K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $14K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $65K @ 66.5% (-9.0pp vs prev)next: $68K @ 36.5% · vol $159K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.84T (+41.5B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-07-30 |