Equities are mixed with the S&P 500 slightly negative while the Dow outperforms, suggesting a defensive tilt amid the Fear & Greed Index signaling extreme fear. The Nasdaq 100 is notably weaker, indicating tech sector pressure, while energy rallies on a 1.19% crude oil gain. The 10-year yield holding at 4.62% with inflation still above target at 3.73% keeps rate expectations elevated, creating headwinds for growth-oriented assets.
Watch today: Monitor whether the S&P 500 can hold above 7,720 or breaks lower; a breach could signal weakness rolling into tomorrow. Also watch crude oil strength — it's up 1.19% — to see if energy continues outperforming as a defensive play or if it signals broader inflationary concerns resurging.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $54,628.00 (+19.00, +0.03%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,760.00 (-1.75, -0.02%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,459.50 (-104.50, -0.35%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,028.20 (+0.70, +0.02%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $311.00 (-1.50, -0.48%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $487.46 (+1.71, +0.35%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $272.65 (-0.10, -0.04%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $362.43 (-2.27, -0.62%) |
| Meta (META) | $588.77 (-2.65, -0.45%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $321.55 (+0.05, +0.02%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $219.22 (-1.52, -0.69%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $110.88 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $110.87 (-0.01, -0.01%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $77.34 (-0.01, -0.01%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $153.01 (-0.03, -0.02%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $57.31 (-0.03, -0.05%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $569.70 (-0.30, -0.05%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $52.64 (-0.04, -0.08%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.20 (-0.08, -0.19%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $186.35 (-0.37, -0.20%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $43.66 (-0.09, -0.21%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $85.33 (-0.35, -0.41%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | N/A |
| Ethereum (ETH) | N/A |
| Solana (SOL) | N/A |
| Ripple (XRP) | N/A |
| Cardano (ADA) | N/A |
| Fear & Greed | 25 – Extreme Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.079/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-03 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.348/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-03 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $75.88 (+0.89, +1.19%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,324.50 (-0.40, -0.01%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $61.94 (-0.37, -0.59%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥157.89 (+0.23, +0.15%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1549 (-0.00, -0.08%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.725% (-0.005, -0.13%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.617% (-0.010, -0.22%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.66% (+1.22pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $60K @ 78.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 72.5% · vol $178K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $62K @ 67.5% (-19.0pp vs prev)next: $67K @ 57.5% · vol $694K/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.6% (-0.3pp vs prev)vol $2K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 13.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 9.5% · vol $25K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 12.8% (-0.3pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 11.4% · vol $46K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $9K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $5K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $65K @ 91.5% (+9.0pp vs prev)next: $68K @ 51.5% · vol $177K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.83T (+89.2B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-04 |