Equity markets declined modestly across all major indices today, with the Dow underperforming at -0.85% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 showed more resilience. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 29, signaling genuine fear despite a contained VIX of 15.23, suggesting market anxiety is present but not yet reflected in volatility pricing. Oil retreated 1.41% on demand concerns, while the 10-year yield held steady at 4.67% amid persistent inflation at 3.73%—creating a cautious backdrop where equities are struggling for direction.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield closely; if it breaks decisively below 4.60%, it could trigger a repricing of rate cut expectations and reverse today's equity weakness, particularly in rate-sensitive tech. With the Fear & Greed Index at 29 and unemployment stable at 4.20%, watch for any economic data surprises that could either validate or challenge the market's current risk-off posture.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $54,062.00 (+163.00, +0.30%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,752.50 (+23.25, +0.30%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,645.75 (+156.50, +0.53%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,019.80 (+15.30, +0.51%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $312.41 (-0.15, -0.05%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $499.86 (+0.89, +0.18%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $272.26 (+0.07, +0.03%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $357.75 (-1.15, -0.32%) |
| Meta (META) | $589.90 (+0.80, +0.14%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $319.53 (-0.94, -0.29%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $218.99 (-0.43, -0.20%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $52.17 (+0.17, +0.33%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $108.81 (+0.21, +0.19%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $85.11 (+0.01, +0.01%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $111.18 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.81 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $43.38 (-0.03, -0.07%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $76.49 (-0.11, -0.14%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $184.76 (-0.27, -0.15%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $154.50 (-0.28, -0.18%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $58.16 (-0.14, -0.24%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $571.48 (-3.52, -0.61%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $65,061.00 (+0.40% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,916.09 (+0.40% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $73.60 (+0.30% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.03 (-1.00% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.20 (+7.20% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 29 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.079/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-03 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.348/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-03 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $76.95 (-1.10, -1.41%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,382.40 (+59.60, +1.38%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $64.32 (+1.74, +2.79%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥158.36 (-0.10, -0.07%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1530 (+0.00, +0.05%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.732% (+0.007, +0.19%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.670% (+0.053, +1.15%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.69% (+0.45pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $60K @ 78.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 72.0% · vol $78K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $65K @ 100.0% (+32.5pp vs prev)next: $67K @ 60.5% · vol $322K/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.7% (+0.1pp vs prev)vol $134/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 12.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 9.5% · vol $9K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 16.1% (+3.3pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 10.9% · vol $123K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 4.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $4K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $16K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $65K @ 98.5% (+7.0pp vs prev)next: $68K @ 56.5% · vol $100K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (-2.33pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.83T (+1.2B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-05 |