U.S. equities finished modestly lower across all major indices, with the Nasdaq lagging at -0.34% while the S&P 500 and Dow held near flat. The Fear & Greed Index remains depressed at 29, signaling genuine fear sentiment despite a benign VIX at 15.46, suggesting underlying caution rather than acute panic. Oil pulled back slightly to $81.93 and gold remains elevated at $4,448, while the 10-year yield held steady at 4.70% with unemployment stable at 4.10%.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield for any decisive move above or below 4.70%—it's currently the critical fulcrum between equity support and inflation expectations. Any sharp move could trigger rotation flows given the elevated Fear & Greed reading despite muted volatility.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $54,090.00 (+24.00, +0.04%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,788.25 (+1.25, +0.02%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,842.25 (+8.25, +0.03%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,030.20 (-0.20, -0.01%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $308.26 (+0.70, +0.23%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $506.06 (+0.80, +0.16%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $278.09 (+0.86, +0.31%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $357.52 (+0.97, +0.27%) |
| Meta (META) | $594.92 (+0.72, +0.12%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $330.88 (+0.58, +0.18%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $217.55 (-0.44, -0.20%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $84.95 (+0.24, +0.29%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $111.83 (+0.09, +0.08%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.40 (+0.02, +0.05%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $76.03 (+0.04, +0.05%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $158.03 (+0.03, +0.02%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $108.24 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $184.60 (-0.02, -0.01%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $53.18 (-0.02, -0.04%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $60.18 (-0.03, -0.05%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $43.13 (-0.05, -0.12%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $569.41 (-1.19, -0.21%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | N/A |
| Ethereum (ETH) | N/A |
| Solana (SOL) | N/A |
| Ripple (XRP) | N/A |
| Cardano (ADA) | N/A |
| Fear & Greed | 29 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.079/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-03 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.348/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-03 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $81.93 (-0.19, -0.23%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,448.00 (-29.00, -0.65%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $65.43 (-0.53, -0.81%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥159.17 (-0.09, -0.05%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1542 (-0.00, -0.05%) |
| US 2-Year Treasury | 3.718% (+0.008, +0.22%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.699% (+0.039, +0.84%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.69% (+0.45pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $60K @ 78.0% (+2.5pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 71.5% · vol $147K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $65K @ 87.5% (+28.0pp vs prev)next: $62K @ 68.0% · vol $404K/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.5% (-0.1pp vs prev)vol $335/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 13.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 8.5% · vol $2K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 14.2% (+0.3pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 11.2% · vol $80K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $13K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $68K @ 44.5% (-9.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 20.5% · vol $61K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.89T (-5.0B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-07 |