Equities posted modest declines across the board, with the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq all down roughly 0.3%, while the VIX remained subdued at 15.28 and the Fear & Greed Index signaled underlying caution at 27. Crude oil surged 2% to $83.79, likely reflecting supply concerns or geopolitical tension, while Treasury yields held steady at 4.68% against persistent inflation readings of 3.73%. Bitcoin and risk assets moved in tandem with equities, suggesting measured risk-off sentiment despite low volatility metrics.
Watch today: Monitor crude oil's continued strength above $83 and watch for any Fed commentary on sticky inflation; a sustained rally in energy could pressure Treasury yields and force a reassessment of rate-cut timing expectations.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,869.00 (-197.00, -0.36%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,751.50 (-35.50, -0.46%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,662.00 (-172.00, -0.58%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,033.80 (+3.40, +0.11%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $304.91 (-2.65, -0.86%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $503.81 (-1.45, -0.29%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $272.27 (-4.96, -1.79%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $343.80 (-12.75, -3.58%) |
| Meta (META) | $599.12 (+4.92, +0.83%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $332.81 (+2.51, +0.76%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $217.50 (-0.49, -0.22%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $110.30 (+2.06, +1.90%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $60.93 (+0.72, +1.20%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $76.81 (+0.82, +1.07%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $43.63 (+0.45, +1.04%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $185.70 (+1.08, +0.58%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $572.93 (+2.33, +0.41%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $53.24 (+0.04, +0.08%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $158.07 (+0.07, +0.04%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $84.69 (-0.02, -0.02%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $111.27 (-0.47, -0.42%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.08 (-0.30, -0.67%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $63,669.00 (-0.30% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,881.50 (+0.60% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $76.29 (+0.50% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.02 (+1.10% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.19 (-2.00% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 27 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.006/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.257/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $83.79 (+1.67, +2.03%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,437.20 (-39.80, -0.89%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $64.96 (-1.00, -1.51%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥159.33 (+0.07, +0.04%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1542 (-0.00, -0.05%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.730% (+0.012, +0.32%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.684% (-0.015, -0.32%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.69% (+0.45pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $60K @ 78.0% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 70.5% · vol $130K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $62K @ 79.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $65K @ 71.5% · vol $498K/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 2.3% (-0.2pp vs prev)vol $6K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 13.0% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 8.5% · vol $5K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 14.4% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 10.8% · vol $56K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $15K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 2.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $56K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $68K @ 39.0% (+1.5pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 18.0% · vol $71K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.89T (+6.5B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-10 |