📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated August 12, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

AI Morning Briefing

U.S. equities edged lower across all major indices, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 each declining roughly one-third of a percent in a broadly cautious session. The VIX held steady near 15, suggesting contained volatility despite the Fear & Greed Index reading 27 and signaling underlying investor caution. Oil fell over 1% while gold remained stable, and the 10-year Treasury yield held firm at 4.68% as inflation sits above the Fed's target at 3.73%.

Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield holding above 4.6% while inflation remains sticky at 3.73%—any move toward 4.75% or higher could signal renewed rate-hike concerns and put fresh pressure on equities despite today's modest decline.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $53,950.00 (+63.00, +0.12%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,766.00 (+10.50, +0.14%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $29,813.25 (+118.25, +0.40%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $3,038.60 (+1.50, +0.05%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $304.91 (-0.16, -0.05%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $503.81 (+1.47, +0.29%)
Amazon (AMZN) $272.27 (-0.01, -0.00%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $343.80 (-1.28, -0.37%)
Meta (META) $599.12 (-0.69, -0.11%)
Tesla (TSLA) $332.81 (-0.18, -0.05%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $217.50 (-0.54, -0.25%)
📊 Sector Performance
Homebuilders (XHB) $110.30 (+2.06, +1.90%)
Energy (XLE) $60.93 (+0.08, +0.13%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $44.08 (+0.01, +0.02%)
Materials (XLB) $53.24 (+0.00, +0.00%)
Biotech (XBI) $158.07 (-0.02, -0.01%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $84.69 (-0.04, -0.05%)
Regional Banks (KRE) $76.81 (-0.04, -0.05%)
Communication Services (XLC) $111.27 (-0.09, -0.08%)
Utilities (XLU) $43.63 (-0.04, -0.09%)
Industrials (XLI) $185.70 (-0.20, -0.11%)
Semiconductors (SMH) $572.93 (-0.82, -0.14%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $64,141.00 (-0.20% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $1,910.92 (+1.30% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $76.79 (+1.10% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.02 (+1.50% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.19 (-1.10% 24h)
Fear & Greed 27 – Fear
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $4.006/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10
US Avg Diesel $5.257/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10
Crude Oil (WTI) $83.40 (-0.85, -1.01%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,470.10 (+8.30, +0.19%)
Silver (SI=F) $66.40 (+0.85, +1.29%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥159.11 (-0.15, -0.09%)
EUR/USD 1.1542 (-0.00, -0.05%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 13-Week T-Bill 3.730% (+0.012, +0.32%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.684% (-0.015, -0.32%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.69% (+0.45pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $60K @ 77.5% (-0.5pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 69.5% · vol $58K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in August $65K @ 81.5% (-6.0pp vs prev)next: $62K @ 70.0% · vol $449K/24h · ends 2026-09-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 2.2% (-1.3pp vs prev)vol $6K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 11.5% (-2.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 8.0% · vol $4K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $65K-$70K @ 14.4% (+0.2pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 10.8% · vol $58K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $18K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 2.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)vol $63K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in August $68K @ 42.5% (-2.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 21.0% · vol $63K/24h · ends 2026-09-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.14/doz (-2.28% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01
Milk, whole $4.32/gal (+2.37% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-06-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.92% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-06-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.05% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-06-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T
CPI – All Items (+3.73% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-06-01
Unemployment Rate 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM)
US National Debt $39.89T (+6.5B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-10