Equities showed mixed performance with the Nasdaq 100 outpacing broader indices, gaining 0.74% while the Dow slipped slightly, suggesting a flight to growth despite persistent inflation at 3.54%. The VIX remained subdued at 14.58, yet the Fear & Greed Index sits at 29 indicating underlying caution as the 10-year yield holds firm at 4.68%. Energy and crypto both retreated, with crude down 1.42% and Bitcoin sliding 0.70%, while gold maintained strength above $4,450.
Watch today: Monitor whether the 10-year yield stays anchored at 4.68% or breaks higher—a move above 4.75% could pressure growth stocks and shift today's Nasdaq strength. This matters because sticky inflation expectations and unemployment at 4.10% leave the Fed with limited room to cut, keeping real rates elevated.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,993.00 (+145.00, +0.27%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,783.25 (+8.25, +0.11%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,863.75 (-14.25, -0.05%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,060.70 (+4.80, +0.16%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $302.25 (+0.85, +0.28%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $492.43 (+3.37, +0.69%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $267.28 (-0.04, -0.01%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $343.54 (+0.24, +0.07%) |
| Meta (META) | $578.85 (+0.27, +0.05%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $327.51 (+0.54, +0.17%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $224.09 (+0.35, +0.16%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $159.39 (+0.07, +0.04%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $77.38 (+0.03, +0.04%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $108.35 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $584.83 (-0.20, -0.03%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $185.88 (-0.12, -0.06%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $110.27 (-0.12, -0.11%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $85.08 (-0.10, -0.12%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $52.58 (-0.07, -0.13%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $61.03 (-0.09, -0.15%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $43.84 (-0.07, -0.16%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.49 (-0.08, -0.18%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $63,415.00 (-0.70% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,875.83 (-1.20% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $75.54 (-1.30% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.01 (-1.60% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.18 (-1.30% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 29 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.006/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.257/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $81.45 (-1.17, -1.42%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,450.90 (-7.40, -0.17%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $65.12 (-0.35, -0.53%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥159.29 (-0.10, -0.06%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1541 (+0.00, +0.09%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.707% (-0.023, -0.62%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.682% (-0.002, -0.04%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.69% (+0.45pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $60K @ 79.0% (+1.5pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 67.5% · vol $97K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $62K @ 79.5% (+9.5pp vs prev)next: $65K @ 69.5% · vol $555K/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 3.5% (+1.3pp vs prev)vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 12.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 8.5% · vol $2K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 14.3% (-0.1pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 10.8% · vol $74K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $8K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 2.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $19K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $68K @ 30.5% (-12.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 13.5% · vol $54K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.94T (+50.2B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-11 |