📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated August 14, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

AI Morning Briefing

Equities posted modest gains with the S&P 500 up 0.65% and Nasdaq 100 leading at +1.15%, though the Dow lagged with just +0.13% gains. The Fear & Greed Index remains entrenched at 29, signaling persistent caution despite the rally, while Bitcoin retreated 1.40% as investors showed selective risk appetite. With the 10-year yield holding steady at 4.64% and CPI remaining elevated at 3.54%, the market appears to be consolidating ahead of potential policy signals.

Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield closely—any break above 4.70% could trigger profit-taking in tech and reverse today's Nasdaq outperformance, given elevated inflation readings still constraining Fed pivot expectations.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $53,822.00 (-147.00, -0.27%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,827.50 (+3.25, +0.04%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $30,254.50 (+100.75, +0.33%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $3,057.20 (-1.10, -0.04%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $305.26 (+0.48, +0.16%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $496.88 (+1.01, +0.20%)
Amazon (AMZN) $265.13 (-0.13, -0.05%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $346.36 (+0.11, +0.03%)
Meta (META) $594.97 (+0.99, +0.17%)
Tesla (TSLA) $339.96 (-1.55, -0.45%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $225.30 (-0.13, -0.06%)
📊 Sector Performance
Homebuilders (XHB) $109.53 (+1.18, +1.09%)
Regional Banks (KRE) $77.75 (+0.15, +0.19%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $45.12 (+0.08, +0.17%)
Materials (XLB) $52.31 (+0.05, +0.10%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $86.00 (+0.04, +0.05%)
Utilities (XLU) $44.04 (+0.00, +0.00%)
Energy (XLE) $61.06 (-0.01, -0.01%)
Communication Services (XLC) $112.55 (-0.04, -0.04%)
Industrials (XLI) $185.79 (-0.18, -0.10%)
Semiconductors (SMH) $589.12 (-1.33, -0.23%)
Biotech (XBI) $156.86 (-0.74, -0.47%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $62,840.00 (-1.40% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $1,875.98 (-0.50% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $75.48 (-0.80% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.00 (-0.80% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.18 (-3.30% 24h)
Fear & Greed 29 – Fear
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $4.006/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10
US Avg Diesel $5.257/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10
Crude Oil (WTI) $81.70 (+0.35, +0.43%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,411.70 (+32.10, +0.73%)
Silver (SI=F) $64.90 (+0.72, +1.13%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥159.14 (-0.33, -0.21%)
EUR/USD 1.1566 (+0.00, +0.27%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 13-Week T-Bill 3.705% (-0.002, -0.05%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.641% (-0.041, -0.88%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.67% (-0.30pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $60K @ 81.5% (+2.5pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 65.5% · vol $319K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in August $62K @ 90.0% (+10.5pp vs prev)next: $65K @ 58.5% · vol $638K/24h · ends 2026-09-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 3.1% (-0.4pp vs prev)vol $1K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 12.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 7.5% · vol $1K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $60K-$65K @ 11.7% (+0.9pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 10.4% · vol $149K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 2.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 2.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $44K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in August $68K @ 22.5% (-8.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 8.5% · vol $157K/24h · ends 2026-09-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01
Milk, whole $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T
CPI – All Items (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01
Unemployment Rate 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM)
US National Debt $39.91T (-28.4B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-12