U.S. equities retreated modestly across all major indices, with the S&P 500 sliding 0.17% amid a Fear & Greed reading of 31 signaling investor caution. The VIX remained subdued at 14.90, suggesting contained volatility despite the risk-off tone. Bitcoin bucked the trend with a 1.1% gain, while crude oil inched higher on modest demand signals, even as the 10-year Treasury held steady at 4.70% with inflation at 3.54%.
Watch today: Monitor the Fear & Greed Index at 31—if it dips further into extreme fear territory, watch for capitulation selling or a potential tactical reversal. The divergence between equity weakness and Bitcoin strength may hint at rotating risk appetite that could accelerate if sentiment shifts.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,707.00 (-36.00, -0.07%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,814.00 (+1.75, +0.02%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $30,290.25 (+44.50, +0.15%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,071.40 (-3.00, -0.10%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $305.93 (+0.16, +0.05%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $495.40 (+0.13, +0.03%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $262.65 (-0.53, -0.20%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $345.90 (-1.37, -0.39%) |
| Meta (META) | $589.85 (-0.42, -0.07%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $342.27 (+0.62, +0.18%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $225.16 (+0.44, +0.20%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $587.82 (+0.75, +0.13%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $186.51 (+0.20, +0.11%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $77.93 (+0.06, +0.08%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $44.31 (+0.02, +0.05%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $61.91 (+0.01, +0.02%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $157.41 (+0.01, +0.01%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $52.54 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $112.95 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $86.09 (-0.10, -0.12%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.27 (-0.06, -0.13%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $109.02 (-0.46, -0.42%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $63,589.00 (+1.10% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,904.06 (+1.40% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $75.71 (+0.60% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.00 (+0.20% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.17 (-1.40% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 31 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.006/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.257/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $82.61 (+0.37, +0.45%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,458.10 (+4.40, +0.10%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $65.80 (+0.11, +0.16%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥159.24 (-0.06, -0.04%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1594 (+0.00, +0.19%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.697% (-0.008, -0.22%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.696% (+0.055, +1.19%) |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $60K @ 80.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 64.5% · vol $397K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $62K @ 69.2% (-20.8pp vs prev)next: $65K @ 69.0% · vol $537K/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 2.5% (-0.6pp vs prev)vol $535/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 12.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 6.5% · vol $2K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 15.0% (+5.2pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 11.7% · vol $33K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $10K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 2.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $31K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $68K @ 21.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 8.5% · vol $29K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |