Equity markets retreated modestly today, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones each declining roughly half a percent while the Nasdaq showed relative resilience, slipping only 0.17%. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 41, signaling investor caution despite a stable VIX near 15.74. Bitcoin bucked the trend with a 1.4% gain, while crude oil fell 1.4% and Treasury yields held firm at 4.72%, suggesting markets are processing persistent inflation concerns as the CPI remains elevated at 3.54%.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield for any break below 4.70% or surge above 4.75%, as this could signal shifting inflation expectations and trigger a rotation between defensive and growth sectors. With CPI still above 3.5% and unemployment stable at 4.1%, any Fed communication or economic data today could accelerate the move.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,541.00 (+56.00, +0.10%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,736.25 (-8.00, -0.10%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,769.75 (-130.25, -0.44%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,056.30 (-2.00, -0.07%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $305.59 (+0.44, +0.14%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $480.35 (+0.38, +0.08%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $261.31 (+0.21, +0.08%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $344.00 (+0.14, +0.04%) |
| Meta (META) | $568.97 (+0.72, +0.13%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $339.30 (-0.55, -0.16%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $225.01 (-0.14, -0.06%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $44.18 (+0.03, +0.07%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $77.39 (+0.03, +0.04%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $108.19 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $52.24 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $84.68 (-0.01, -0.01%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.83 (-0.02, -0.04%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $110.82 (-0.08, -0.07%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $159.53 (-0.18, -0.11%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $594.07 (-0.93, -0.16%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $62.58 (-0.11, -0.18%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $186.32 (-0.54, -0.29%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $64,316.00 (+1.40% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $1,903.38 (+0.20% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $76.18 (+0.70% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.00 (-0.10% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.17 (-0.50% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 41 – Fear |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.006/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.257/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-10 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $84.06 (-1.19, -1.40%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,449.30 (+1.20, +0.03%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $65.14 (-0.17, -0.25%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥159.74 (+0.33, +0.20%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1578 (-0.00, -0.03%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.703% (+0.006, +0.16%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.724% (+0.028, +0.60%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.67% (-0.30pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $60K @ 75.5% (-5.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 69.5% · vol $643K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $65K @ 82.0% (+13.0pp vs prev)next: $62K @ 57.6% · vol $558K/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 0.9% (-1.6pp vs prev)vol $25K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 12.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 6.5% · vol $1K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $65K-$70K @ 14.6% (-0.4pp vs prev)next: $60K-$65K @ 12.2% · vol $24K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $15K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 2.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $8K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $68K @ 26.5% (+5.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 9.5% · vol $100K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $39.93T (-1.2B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-14 |