📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated August 19, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

AI Morning Briefing

U.S. equities retreated today with the S&P 500 falling 0.69% and the Nasdaq 100 declining 1.68%, signaling weakness in growth-heavy tech stocks despite a modest Dow resilience. The VIX remained subdued at 15.76 while the Fear & Greed Index shifted to neutral fear territory at 46, suggesting cautious sentiment rather than panic. With the 10-year Treasury yield holding steady at 4.71% and inflation remaining elevated at 3.54%, investors appear to be reassessing growth expectations amid persistent rate pressures.

Watch today: Monitor the 10-year yield and any Fed commentary today for signals on rate duration; the persistence of 4.71% yields combined with today's tech selloff suggests growing concerns about sustained borrowing costs pressuring valuations.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $53,451.00 (+97.00, +0.18%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,717.00 (+10.25, +0.13%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $29,539.00 (+11.25, +0.04%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $3,025.50 (+2.70, +0.09%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $310.03 (-0.19, -0.06%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $481.63 (+0.27, +0.06%)
Amazon (AMZN) $259.45 (-0.05, -0.02%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $344.20 (+0.10, +0.03%)
Meta (META) $543.67 (-1.00, -0.18%)
Tesla (TSLA) $336.87 (+0.69, +0.21%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $219.74 (+0.49, +0.22%)
📊 Sector Performance
Semiconductors (SMH) $569.77 (+2.80, +0.49%)
Energy (XLE) $63.68 (+0.14, +0.22%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $44.63 (+0.04, +0.09%)
Biotech (XBI) $160.11 (+0.08, +0.05%)
Regional Banks (KRE) $76.85 (-0.00, -0.00%)
Materials (XLB) $51.78 (-0.00, -0.00%)
Utilities (XLU) $44.02 (-0.02, -0.05%)
Communication Services (XLC) $110.48 (-0.20, -0.18%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $85.58 (-0.28, -0.33%)
Industrials (XLI) $183.57 (-0.88, -0.48%)
Homebuilders (XHB) $105.95 (-2.24, -2.07%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $64,475.00 (+0.50% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $1,921.33 (+1.30% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $77.52 (+1.90% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.00 (+1.00% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.17 (+0.60% 24h)
Fear & Greed 46 – Fear
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $4.049/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17
US Avg Diesel $5.454/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17
Crude Oil (WTI) $84.74 (+0.06, +0.07%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,424.90 (+15.90, +0.36%)
Silver (SI=F) $63.50 (+0.37, +0.58%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥159.11 (-0.48, -0.30%)
EUR/USD 1.1609 (+0.00, +0.26%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 13-Week T-Bill 3.705% (+0.002, +0.05%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.706% (-0.018, -0.38%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.67% (-0.30pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $60K @ 74.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 70.5% · vol $55K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in August $65K @ 83.5% (+1.5pp vs prev)next: $62K @ 51.4% · vol $515K/24h · ends 2026-09-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 1.2% (+0.3pp vs prev)vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 9.5% (-3.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 7.5% · vol $25K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $60K-$65K @ 14.3% (+2.1pp vs prev)next: $65K-$70K @ 11.3% · vol $97K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $8K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 2.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $10K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in August $68K @ 27.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 9.5% · vol $64K/24h · ends 2026-09-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01
Milk, whole $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T
CPI – All Items (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01
Unemployment Rate 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM)
US National Debt $39.99T (+53.0B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-17