Equities edged higher with the S&P 500 and Dow posting modest gains, though the Nasdaq lagged slightly as rotation pressures persist. Bitcoin surged 11.7% to $71,880 while crude oil jumped nearly 3% amid geopolitical and supply considerations. The 10-year yield held firm at 4.65% with inflation cooling to 3.54% year-over-year, supporting a cautiously optimistic risk backdrop reflected in the Fear & Greed Index reading at 62.
Watch today: Monitor whether crude oil's 3% jump sustains amid current supply dynamics and geopolitical developments; a break above $87 could fuel inflationary concerns and test the 4.65% yield ceiling, potentially pressuring equities if energy prices remain elevated into the close.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,400.00 (-156.00, -0.29%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,721.25 (-17.50, -0.23%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,463.00 (-150.00, -0.51%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,035.10 (-11.00, -0.36%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $316.83 (-0.24, -0.08%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $484.31 (-0.55, -0.11%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $265.84 (-0.76, -0.29%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $344.72 (-0.18, -0.05%) |
| Meta (META) | $546.03 (-3.96, -0.72%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $351.12 (+0.32, +0.09%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $217.56 (-1.26, -0.58%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $108.23 (+1.97, +1.85%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $44.02 (+0.05, +0.12%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $63.58 (+0.04, +0.06%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $169.55 (+0.03, +0.02%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $52.52 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $111.32 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $44.99 (-0.01, -0.02%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $75.00 (-0.07, -0.09%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $86.54 (-0.10, -0.12%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $181.95 (-0.67, -0.37%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $560.92 (-4.56, -0.81%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $71,880.00 (+11.70% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,292.36 (+19.00% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $87.22 (+13.10% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.17 (+15.50% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.19 (+9.10% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 62 – Greed |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.049/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.454/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $86.99 (+2.50, +2.96%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,538.50 (-17.20, -0.38%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $66.72 (-0.56, -0.83%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥158.58 (+0.41, +0.26%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1696 (+0.00, +0.13%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.700% (-0.005, -0.13%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.653% (-0.053, -1.13%) |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $75K @ 83.5% (+35.0pp vs prev)next: $80K @ 59.5% · vol $1.3M/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $72K @ 86.2% (+82.5pp vs prev)next: $75K @ 48.0% · vol $3.2M/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 2.4% (+1.2pp vs prev)vol $22K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 14.5% (+5.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 9.5% · vol $68K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $70K-$75K @ 13.1% (+2.4pp vs prev)next: $75K-$80K @ 11.1% · vol $253K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $19K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)vol $132K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $70K @ 99.5% (+90.0pp vs prev)next: $72K @ 83.5% · vol $871K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $40.05T (+60.8B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-18 |