Equities retreated broadly this morning, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones posting losses of 0.87% and 1.32% respectively, despite the Fear & Greed Index remaining firmly in greed territory at 72. Bitcoin surged 8.4% to $77,358, signaling strength in risk assets even as traditional equities faltered, while the 10-year Treasury yield held steady at 4.70% amid persistent inflation concerns with CPI at 3.54% year-over-year. Energy added modest gains with WTI crude climbing 0.74%, though the broader market mood suggests profit-taking after recent rallies.
Watch today: Monitor whether the equity weakness continues into afternoon trading or stabilizes—the divergence between Bitcoin's strength and stock declines could signal risk rotations rather than broad risk-off sentiment. Watch for any Fed commentary that might support or challenge the 4.70% yield level, which remains crucial for equity valuations.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,056.00 (+181.00, +0.34%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,689.50 (+20.75, +0.27%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,479.00 (+118.75, +0.40%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,020.00 (+11.50, +0.38%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $311.30 (-0.80, -0.26%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $481.15 (+0.04, +0.01%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $260.11 (-0.41, -0.16%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $340.67 (-0.13, -0.04%) |
| Meta (META) | $545.83 (-0.37, -0.07%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $345.13 (-1.17, -0.34%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $216.85 (-0.20, -0.09%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $110.68 (+0.18, +0.16%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $74.71 (+0.02, +0.03%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $105.62 (+0.02, +0.02%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.08 (+0.01, +0.01%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $562.65 (-0.05, -0.01%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $85.32 (-0.12, -0.14%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $63.75 (-0.09, -0.14%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $52.42 (-0.08, -0.16%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $179.77 (-0.30, -0.17%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $163.38 (-0.41, -0.25%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $43.77 (-0.11, -0.25%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $77,358.00 (+8.40% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,383.05 (+5.20% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $90.92 (+4.70% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.39 (+20.60% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.21 (+12.90% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 72 – Greed |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.049/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.454/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $87.10 (+0.64, +0.74%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,654.40 (+63.50, +1.38%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $69.93 (+0.99, +1.44%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥158.57 (-0.38, -0.24%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1712 (+0.00, +0.22%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.703% (+0.003, +0.08%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.696% (+0.043, +0.92%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.65% (-0.30pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $80K @ 84.5% (+25.0pp vs prev)next: $85K @ 65.5% · vol $1.3M/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $80K @ 66.8% (+53.2pp vs prev)next: $82K @ 40.8% · vol $2.6M/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 61.5% (+59.1pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 35.5% · vol $6K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 29.5% (+15.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 18.5% · vol $42K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $70K-$75K @ 11.5% (-1.6pp vs prev)next: $80K-$85K @ 11.4% · vol $311K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 5.5% (+2.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $18K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 3.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $227K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $78K @ 99.5% (+73.0pp vs prev)next: $80K @ 67.5% · vol $557K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $40.01T (-34.7B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-19 |