U.S. equities advanced broadly today with the Dow Jones outpacing peers at +0.98%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 posted more modest gains of +0.43% and +0.33% respectively. The Fear & Greed Index remains deeply embedded in greed territory at 73, and the VIX holding steady at 16 suggests underlying complacency despite persistent inflation at 3.54% and a 10-year yield holding above 4.7%. Bitcoin extended its rally with another +0.85% gain, maintaining investor appetite for risk assets.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield around 4.74% for any moves toward 4.8%—a breach could signal bond weakness and force a reassessment of equity valuations, particularly given sticky CPI readings still above 3.5%.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,221.00 (-106.00, -0.20%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,668.50 (-14.00, -0.18%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,178.75 (-92.25, -0.32%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,013.70 (-8.70, -0.29%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $309.35 (-0.34, -0.11%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $483.24 (-0.37, -0.08%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $258.63 (-0.92, -0.35%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $344.82 (-0.28, -0.08%) |
| Meta (META) | $549.90 (-3.05, -0.55%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $362.86 (-1.07, -0.29%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $214.72 (-0.66, -0.31%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $106.50 (+0.50, +0.47%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $560.42 (+0.82, +0.15%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $74.86 (+0.03, +0.04%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $63.64 (+0.01, +0.02%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $85.99 (-0.02, -0.02%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.08 (-0.04, -0.09%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $165.73 (-0.21, -0.12%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $42.77 (-0.06, -0.14%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $111.40 (-0.25, -0.22%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $180.25 (-0.56, -0.31%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $53.54 (-0.20, -0.38%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $77,812.00 (+0.85% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,469.67 (+1.76% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $94.81 (+0.56% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.49 (-0.60% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.22 (-1.93% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 73 – Greed |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.049/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.454/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $85.35 (-0.28, -0.33%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,702.70 (+4.50, +0.10%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $68.90 (-0.06, -0.08%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥159.19 (+0.25, +0.16%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1671 (-0.00, -0.06%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.710% (+0.007, +0.19%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.738% (+0.042, +0.89%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.65% (-0.30pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $80K @ 88.5% (+4.0pp vs prev)next: $85K @ 69.5% · vol $499K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $80K @ 66.6% (-0.2pp vs prev)next: $75K @ 57.5% · vol $1.1M/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 68.5% (+65.0pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 40.5% · vol $15K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 26.5% (-3.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 17.5% · vol $7K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $75K-$80K @ 12.2% (+3.1pp vs prev)next: $80K-$85K @ 11.7% · vol $285K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 5.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $5K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 5.0% (+1.5pp vs prev)vol $47K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $80K @ 65.5% (-2.0pp vs prev)next: $82K @ 39.5% · vol $197K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $40.03T (+20.6B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-20 |