Equities showed mixed signals today as the Nasdaq 100 fell 0.97% while the Dow managed a modest 0.26% gain, leaving the S&P 500 down 0.28%. Crude oil tumbled 3.39%, weighing on energy stocks, while Bitcoin surged 1.76% and the Fear & Greed Index remained elevated at 74. With the 10-year yield holding at 4.70% and CPI stable at 3.54%, market participants appear to be recalibrating growth expectations amid persistent inflation concerns.
Watch today: Monitor crude oil's momentum below $83—a sustained decline could signal demand weakness and pressure energy sector earnings, while also easing inflation expectations heading into next week's economic data.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,703.00 (+219.00, +0.41%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,699.25 (+24.75, +0.32%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,341.25 (+183.50, +0.63%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,018.90 (+14.50, +0.48%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $310.34 (-0.32, -0.10%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $487.31 (+0.03, +0.01%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $262.07 (-0.53, -0.20%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $348.06 (+0.11, +0.03%) |
| Meta (META) | $559.02 (-1.18, -0.21%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $348.95 (-0.39, -0.11%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $208.48 (-0.32, -0.15%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $106.29 (+1.04, +0.99%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $546.80 (+2.10, +0.39%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $53.58 (+0.08, +0.15%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.33 (+0.04, +0.09%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $112.32 (+0.05, +0.05%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $74.76 (+0.00, +0.01%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $87.45 (-0.01, -0.01%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $63.11 (-0.03, -0.05%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $164.17 (-0.08, -0.05%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $43.22 (-0.04, -0.09%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $179.00 (-0.33, -0.18%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $79,230.00 (+1.76% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,476.41 (+0.17% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $98.68 (+3.91% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.48 (-0.38% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.22 (-0.40% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 74 – Greed |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.049/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.454/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-17 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $82.53 (-2.90, -3.39%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,697.80 (+9.50, +0.20%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $68.59 (+0.66, +0.98%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥159.29 (+0.20, +0.12%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1666 (-0.00, -0.02%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.703% (-0.007, -0.19%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.704% (-0.034, -0.72%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.65% (-0.30pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $75K @ 80.5% next: $85K @ 72.5% · vol $1.1M/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $77K @ 70.0% next: $82K @ 50.5% · vol $2.2M/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 55.5% (+52.5pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 30.5% · vol $7K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 36.5% (+10.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 24.5% · vol $28K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $75K-$80K @ 12.0% (-0.2pp vs prev)next: $80K-$85K @ 11.8% · vol $348K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 6.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $16K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 5.5% (+0.5pp vs prev)vol $83K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $80K @ 99.5% (+34.0pp vs prev)next: $82K @ 52.0% · vol $678K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $40.03T (-0.4B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-21 |