Equities posted modest gains this morning as the S&P 500 and Dow climbed 0.3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 outpaced with a 0.64% rise. The Fear & Greed Index sits firmly in greed territory at 65, suggesting renewed investor confidence despite sticky inflation holding at 3.54% year-over-year. Treasury yields remain elevated at 4.64%, anchoring rate expectations, while oil and bitcoin both retreated slightly, signaling mixed sentiment across risk assets.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield closely—any move above 4.70% could pressure tech valuations and limit the rally's legs, while a break below 4.60% might trigger rotation into growth stocks. This is critical given the market's current greed stance and Nasdaq's outperformance.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,670.00 (-10.00, -0.02%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,691.00 (+0.75, +0.01%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,258.50 (-8.50, -0.03%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,013.30 (-0.70, -0.02%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $309.90 (+0.55, +0.18%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $491.71 (+2.06, +0.42%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $261.06 (+0.51, +0.20%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $346.96 (+0.66, +0.19%) |
| Meta (META) | $570.05 (+2.29, +0.40%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $350.25 (-0.45, -0.13%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $213.05 (-0.58, -0.27%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $106.38 (+1.13, +1.07%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $62.06 (+0.19, +0.31%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $169.10 (+0.06, +0.04%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $86.52 (+0.02, +0.02%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $53.58 (-0.01, -0.03%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $178.40 (-0.05, -0.03%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $555.82 (-0.21, -0.04%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.36 (-0.02, -0.04%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $113.18 (-0.05, -0.04%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $74.33 (-0.06, -0.08%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $43.31 (-0.06, -0.14%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $78,621.00 (-0.76% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,465.33 (-0.46% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $97.29 (-1.51% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.41 (-4.61% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.21 (-3.77% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 65 – Greed |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.085/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-24 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.652/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-24 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $80.13 (-0.14, -0.17%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,678.50 (-22.60, -0.48%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $68.47 (-0.79, -1.13%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥159.15 (-0.04, -0.03%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1666 (-0.00, -0.13%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.705% (+0.002, +0.05%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.639% (-0.065, -1.38%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.65% (-0.30pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $75K @ 86.5% (+6.0pp vs prev)next: $85K @ 68.5% · vol $555K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $77K @ 75.0% (+5.0pp vs prev)next: $80K @ 74.0% · vol $965K/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 29.5% (+26.3pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 29.5% · vol $332/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 31.0% (-5.5pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 22.5% · vol $11K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $75K-$80K @ 11.1% (-0.9pp vs prev)next: $80K-$85K @ 11.0% · vol $217K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 5.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $10K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 4.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)vol $125K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $82K @ 35.5% (-16.5pp vs prev)next: $85K @ 12.5% · vol $195K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.48T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $40.04T (+2.5B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-24 |