Markets traded in a narrow range today with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones posting modest declines while the Nasdaq eked out a fractional gain, reflecting a mixed start to the week. Bitcoin surged 1.21% to $79,570, outpacing traditional equities as risk sentiment remains elevated with the Fear & Greed Index at 71. Oil advanced alongside steady Treasury yields at 4.66%, while inflation remains sticky at 3.54% year-over-year—above the Fed's 2% target.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.66% and watch for any shift in Fed rate expectations; a sustained move above 4.70% could pressure equities despite elevated greed sentiment. Also track Bitcoin's momentum—strength above $80,000 might signal retail interest rotating into digital assets over traditional equities.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $53,501.00 (-193.00, -0.36%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,726.25 (+0.50, +0.01%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,595.75 (+61.50, +0.21%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $3,010.10 (-1.20, -0.04%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $313.45 (+1.67, +0.54%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $496.37 (+0.42, +0.08%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $260.28 (-1.63, -0.62%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $342.00 (-0.65, -0.19%) |
| Meta (META) | $576.14 (-2.97, -0.51%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $345.82 (-1.87, -0.54%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $209.66 (-9.87, -4.50%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $86.27 (+0.15, +0.17%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $74.58 (+0.06, +0.08%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $168.39 (+0.04, +0.02%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $43.51 (+0.01, +0.02%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $112.61 (+0.01, +0.01%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $45.09 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $62.43 (-0.02, -0.03%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $53.67 (-0.13, -0.24%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $180.34 (-0.52, -0.29%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $106.00 (-0.60, -0.56%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $555.77 (-14.39, -2.52%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $79,570.00 (+1.21% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,503.16 (+1.54% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $104.33 (+7.23% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.43 (+0.86% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.21 (+0.85% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 71 – Greed |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.085/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-24 |
| US Avg Diesel | $5.652/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-24 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $82.33 (+0.49, +0.60%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,646.00 (-33.00, -0.71%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $69.14 (+0.16, +0.24%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥159.46 (+0.19, +0.12%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1646 (-0.00, -0.10%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.690% (-0.015, -0.40%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.664% (+0.025, +0.54%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.65% (-0.30pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $75K @ 81.0% (-5.5pp vs prev)next: $85K @ 73.5% · vol $388K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in August | $77K @ 56.5% (-18.5pp vs prev)next: $82K @ 45.1% · vol $1.2M/24h · ends 2026-09-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 29.5% (+26.6pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 22.0% · vol $985/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 30.5% (-0.5pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 17.5% · vol $12K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $75K-$80K @ 9.3% (-1.8pp vs prev)next: $80K-$85K @ 9.2% · vol $130K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 5.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $5K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 4.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $65K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in August | $82K @ 43.5% (+8.0pp vs prev)next: $85K @ 21.5% · vol $385K/24h · ends 2026-09-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.49T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $40.10T (+63.5B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-25 |