📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated August 31, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

AI Morning Briefing

Equities edged lower today with the Nasdaq 100 leading declines at –0.70%, while the S&P 500 and Dow held relatively steady, signaling modest risk-off sentiment. Oil surged 1.53% to $86.39 amid persistent supply concerns, while Bitcoin steadied with a small gain despite broader equity softness. The VIX remained calm at 15.22 and the Fear & Greed Index stayed in greed territory at 62, suggesting investors are balancing caution with underlying confidence amid a 3.54% CPI reading and 4.10% unemployment.

Watch today: Monitor crude oil's trajectory above $86—a sustained push higher could signal inflation concerns that pressure both equities and bond yields, especially with 10-year Treasuries already at 4.72%. Watch for any reversal in Nasdaq weakness, as tech strength is typically required to sustain broader market rallies.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $53,516.00 (+85.00, +0.16%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,709.75 (+17.00, +0.22%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $29,454.75 (+106.00, +0.36%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $2,976.30 (+7.70, +0.26%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $319.70 (-0.20, -0.06%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $513.53 (+0.47, +0.09%)
Amazon (AMZN) $266.43 (+0.33, +0.12%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $346.59 (+0.39, +0.11%)
Meta (META) $578.02 (-0.33, -0.06%)
Tesla (TSLA) $348.75 (+0.56, +0.16%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $217.55 (-0.34, -0.16%)
📊 Sector Performance
Materials (XLB) $53.18 (+0.92, +1.76%)
Communication Services (XLC) $112.99 (+0.47, +0.42%)
Homebuilders (XHB) $104.60 (+0.40, +0.38%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $85.45 (+0.25, +0.29%)
Industrials (XLI) $177.14 (+0.15, +0.08%)
Regional Banks (KRE) $74.30 (+0.05, +0.07%)
Semiconductors (SMH) $553.11 (-0.49, -0.09%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $44.48 (-0.07, -0.16%)
Biotech (XBI) $162.38 (-0.30, -0.19%)
Energy (XLE) $62.68 (-0.14, -0.22%)
Utilities (XLU) $42.73 (-1.35, -3.06%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) $78,472.00 (+0.35% 24h)
Ethereum (ETH) $2,451.58 (-0.38% 24h)
Solana (SOL) $103.88 (-1.23% 24h)
Ripple (XRP) $1.38 (-0.96% 24h)
Cardano (ADA) $0.20 (-2.12% 24h)
Fear & Greed 62 – Greed
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $4.085/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-24
US Avg Diesel $5.652/gal EIA week ending 2026-08-24
Crude Oil (WTI) $86.39 (+1.30, +1.53%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,507.80 (+35.80, +0.80%)
Silver (SI=F) $68.06 (+1.22, +1.82%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥159.63 (-0.41, -0.25%)
EUR/USD 1.1606 (+0.00, +0.16%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 13-Week T-Bill 3.730% (+0.052, +1.41%)
US 10-Year Treasury 4.720% (+0.048, +1.03%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.66% (+0.15pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $75K @ 83.0% (+4.5pp vs prev)next: $85K @ 68.5% · vol $438K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in August $80K @ 22.5% next: $75K @ 2.9% · vol $1.3M/24h · ends 2026-09-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 31.0% (+27.6pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 30.0% · vol $371/24h · ends 2027-01-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 25.5% (-5.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 14.5% · vol $2K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $75K-$80K @ 11.6% (+3.8pp vs prev)next: $70K-$75K @ 10.2% · vol $170K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 5.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: Before September 2026 @ 0.5% · vol $7K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 3.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)vol $17K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in August $82K @ 2.5% (-30.0pp vs prev)next: $85K @ 1.5% · vol $118K/24h · ends 2026-09-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.19/doz (+2.24% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01
Milk, whole $4.31/gal (-0.09% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-07-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.75% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-07-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.08% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-07-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.49T
CPI – All Items (+3.54% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-07-01
Unemployment Rate 4.1% (-2.38pp MoM)
US National Debt $40.08T (+7.8B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-08-27