📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated September 29, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

AI Morning Briefing

Equities retreated across the board today, with the Nasdaq 100 leading declines at −1.08% as tech took the heaviest hit, while the S&P 500 and Dow fell around −0.7%. The VIX held steady at 15.89 despite the selloff, suggesting measured risk appetite, and the Fear & Greed Index remains firmly in Greed territory at 73—indicating markets haven't panicked despite the pullback. Crude oil slumped 2.52% to $91.75 amid demand concerns, while the 10-year yield held firm at 5.24% as inflation data continues to influence rate expectations.

Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield for any movement above 5.30%—a sustained break could signal renewed rate-hike expectations and pressure equities further, particularly high-growth tech names already down sharply today.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $51,891.00 (+179.00, +0.35%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,755.75 (+29.50, +0.38%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $30,644.00 (+206.50, +0.68%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $2,845.90 (+16.30, +0.58%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $338.40 (-0.10, -0.03%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $509.22 (-0.08, -0.02%)
Amazon (AMZN) $246.15 (-0.17, -0.07%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $342.75 (+0.39, +0.11%)
Meta (META) $715.62 (-2.48, -0.35%)
Tesla (TSLA) $357.45 (-0.74, -0.21%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $228.86 (-0.62, -0.27%)
📊 Sector Performance
Consumer Staples (XLP) $82.28 (-0.00, -0.00%)
Energy (XLE) $62.10 (-0.00, -0.00%)
Regional Banks (KRE) $70.55 (-0.08, -0.11%)
Semiconductors (SMH) $600.01 (-0.74, -0.12%)
Biotech (XBI) $156.61 (-0.31, -0.20%)
Utilities (XLU) $39.25 (-0.10, -0.25%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $41.35 (-0.21, -0.51%)
Materials (XLB) $49.47 (-0.33, -0.66%)
Industrials (XLI) $168.78 (-1.65, -0.97%)
Homebuilders (XHB) $97.30 (-1.02, -1.04%)
Communication Services (XLC) $111.18 (-1.78, -1.58%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) N/A
Ethereum (ETH) N/A
Solana (SOL) N/A
Ripple (XRP) N/A
Cardano (ADA) N/A
Fear & Greed 73 – Greed
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $4.478/gal EIA week ending 2026-09-21
US Avg Diesel $6.529/gal EIA week ending 2026-09-21
Crude Oil (WTI) $91.75 (-2.37, -2.52%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,189.30 (+25.20, +0.61%)
Silver (SI=F) $61.26 (+0.38, +0.62%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥157.26 (-0.17, -0.11%)
EUR/USD 1.1351 (-0.00, -0.20%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 13-Week T-Bill 4.057% (-0.013, -0.32%)
US 10-Year Treasury 5.240% (+0.056, +1.08%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 7.03% (+1.15pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $90K @ 69.5% (+3.0pp vs prev)next: $95K @ 49.5% · vol $350K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in September $85K @ 55.0% (+17.5pp vs prev)next: $82K @ 36.5% · vol $899K/24h · ends 2026-10-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 28.5% (+25.8pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 20.0% · vol $292/24h · ends 2027-01-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 33.5% (-2.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 19.5% · vol $30K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $80K-$85K @ 13.1% (+0.3pp vs prev)next: $75K-$80K @ 11.8% · vol $252K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 3.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)vol $7K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 2.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $35K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in September $88K @ 5.5% (-1.0pp vs prev)next: $90K @ 2.5% · vol $169K/24h · ends 2026-10-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.27/doz (+3.79% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-08-01
Milk, whole $4.23/gal (-1.95% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-08-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.63% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-08-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-08-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+1.50% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.49T
CPI – All Items (+3.71% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-08-01
Unemployment Rate 4.1% (+0.00pp MoM)
US National Debt $40.10T (+28.4B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-09-25