Equities edged higher today with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 posting modest gains amid a greed-dominated sentiment backdrop, though the Dow lagged with minimal movement. Bitcoin surged over 3% to fresh highs near $86,400, outpacing traditional markets and signaling risk-on appetite in digital assets. Crude oil dropped sharply by 3.45%, pressuring energy stocks, while the 10-year Treasury yield held firm at 5.24% as the inflation picture remains sticky at 3.71% year-over-year.
Watch today: Monitor oil's continued weakness below $90—further declines could signal recession concerns or oversupply, which may reverse today's risk-on sentiment and pressure equities by market close. Watch also for any intraday Treasury yield movement above 5.30%, which could trigger profit-taking in growth stocks despite current greed readings.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $51,548.00 (+198.00, +0.39%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,764.50 (+21.75, +0.28%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $30,984.75 (+103.50, +0.34%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $2,848.00 (+13.20, +0.47%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $330.32 (-0.48, -0.15%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $512.80 (-2.52, -0.49%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $248.23 (-0.67, -0.27%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $338.24 (-0.96, -0.28%) |
| Meta (META) | $725.93 (-0.85, -0.12%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $354.11 (-1.45, -0.41%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $230.86 (-0.63, -0.27%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $69.95 (+0.19, +0.27%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $62.70 (+0.02, +0.03%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $39.68 (+0.00, +0.01%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $96.78 (-0.00, -0.00%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $168.64 (-0.12, -0.07%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $617.81 (-1.48, -0.24%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $80.33 (-0.24, -0.30%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $154.51 (-0.49, -0.32%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $40.68 (-0.21, -0.51%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $48.54 (-0.26, -0.53%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $109.94 (-1.61, -1.44%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $86,416.00 (+3.14% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,746.17 (+1.87% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $122.03 (+3.69% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.54 (+3.24% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.26 (+3.46% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 72 – Greed |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.465/gal EIA week ending 2026-09-28 |
| US Avg Diesel | $6.382/gal EIA week ending 2026-09-28 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $89.43 (-3.20, -3.45%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,216.70 (+11.20, +0.27%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $61.47 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥157.79 (-0.24, -0.15%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1241 (-0.00, -0.06%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 3.982% (-0.048, -1.19%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 5.237% (-0.056, -1.06%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 7.28% (+3.56pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $90K @ 78.0% (+10.5pp vs prev)next: $95K @ 57.0% · vol $430K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in October | $87K @ 86.5% (+21.0pp vs prev)next: $90K @ 66.5% · vol $1.1M/24h · ends 2026-11-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 28.5% (+26.1pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 21.0% · vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 43.5% (+7.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 24.0% · vol $6K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $80K-$85K @ 13.3% (+0.6pp vs prev)next: $85K-$90K @ 13.2% · vol $223K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 4.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $3K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 2.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $76K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in October | $88K @ 85.5% (+19.0pp vs prev)next: $90K @ 62.5% · vol $85K/24h · ends 2026-11-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.27/doz (+3.79% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-08-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.23/gal (-1.95% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-08-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.63% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-08-01 |
| CPI – Shelter | (+3.10% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-08-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.20% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.56T |
| CPI – All Items | (+3.71% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-08-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% (+0.00pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $40.17T (+74.9B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-09-30 |