📊 Daily Market Pulse

Generated October 21, 2026 7:30 AM ET

Market Closed

AI Morning Briefing

Equities opened mixed as the Dow surged 1.02% while the Nasdaq100 dipped 0.13%, with the S&P 500 gaining modest ground at +0.28%. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 63 (Greed), suggesting investor confidence remains intact despite the divergence between large-cap and tech performance. With the 10-year yield holding at 5.12% and CPI still elevated at 4.02%, bond yields are providing meaningful competition for equity valuations.

Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield for any moves above 5.15% which could pressure tech further and amplify the value/growth rotation. This level matters because it signals whether the Fed's rate environment is stabilizing or shifting, directly impacting the Nasdaq's momentum.

📈 US Market Futures
Dow Jones (YM=F) $52,744.00 (+16.00, +0.03%)
S&P 500 (ES=F) $7,773.50 (-5.25, -0.07%)
Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) $29,844.50 (-75.25, -0.25%)
Russell 2000 (RTY=F) $2,789.40 (+4.90, +0.18%)
💎 Magnificent 7
Apple (AAPL) $339.50 (+1.50, +0.44%)
Microsoft (MSFT) $531.87 (+3.32, +0.63%)
Amazon (AMZN) $262.63 (-0.83, -0.32%)
Alphabet (GOOGL) $340.28 (-0.57, -0.17%)
Meta (META) $694.25 (-0.75, -0.11%)
Tesla (TSLA) $373.71 (-6.74, -1.77%)
Nvidia (NVDA) $216.47 (-4.53, -2.05%)
📊 Sector Performance
Homebuilders (XHB) $96.22 (+1.94, +2.06%)
Regional Banks (KRE) $70.62 (+1.32, +1.90%)
Materials (XLB) $51.23 (+0.36, +0.71%)
Consumer Staples (XLP) $87.75 (+0.27, +0.31%)
Communication Services (XLC) $110.19 (+0.24, +0.22%)
Energy (XLE) $67.97 (+0.10, +0.14%)
Industrials (XLI) $166.80 (+0.12, +0.07%)
Real Estate (XLRE) $42.38 (+0.01, +0.03%)
Biotech (XBI) $153.24 (+0.00, +0.00%)
Utilities (XLU) $41.88 (-0.07, -0.16%)
Semiconductors (SMH) $546.36 (-12.39, -2.22%)
🪙 Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC) N/A
Ethereum (ETH) N/A
Solana (SOL) N/A
Ripple (XRP) N/A
Cardano (ADA) N/A
Fear & Greed 63 – Greed
⛽ Energy
US Avg Gas (regular) $4.284/gal EIA week ending 2026-10-19
US Avg Diesel $6.276/gal EIA week ending 2026-10-19
Crude Oil (WTI) $99.25 (+0.00, +0.00%)
🥇 Metals
Gold (GC=F) $4,148.20 (+12.30, +0.30%)
Silver (SI=F) $57.69 (+0.22, +0.38%)
💱 Currencies
USD/JPY ¥157.91 (-0.36, -0.23%)
EUR/USD 1.1236 (+0.00, +0.04%)
🏦 Bonds & Interest Rates
US 13-Week T-Bill 4.080% (+0.005, +0.12%)
US 10-Year Treasury 5.117% (-0.019, -0.37%)
30-Year Mortgage Rate 7.40% (+0.00pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average
🔮 Polymarket — BTC
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 $90K @ 59.0% (+7.5pp vs prev)next: $95K @ 37.5% · vol $273K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
What price will Bitcoin hit in October $85K @ 72.0% (+24.5pp vs prev)next: $80K @ 43.5% · vol $205K/24h · ends 2026-11-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k $150K @ 29.0% (+26.0pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 18.0% · vol $2K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
🎲 Kalshi — BTC
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 $100K @ 25.5% (+4.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 8.5% · vol $5K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 $80K-$85K @ 14.4% (-1.1pp vs prev)next: $85K-$90K @ 13.1% · vol $89K/24h · ends 2027-01-01
When will Bitcoin hit $150k Before January 2027 @ 2.5% (+1.0pp vs prev)vol $9K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 $200K @ 2.5% (+0.0pp vs prev)vol $104K/24h · ends 2027-01-31
How high will BTC get in October $88K @ 36.5% (+11.0pp vs prev)next: $90K @ 19.5% · vol $95K/24h · ends 2026-11-08
🛒 Consumer Prices
Eggs, Grade A Large $2.27/doz (+0.00% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-09-01
Milk, whole $4.11/gal (-2.91% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-09-01
CPI – Food at Home (+2.27% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-09-01
CPI – Shelter (+3.07% YoY) Rent & housing costs · 2026-09-01
📉 Macro Economy
Real GDP Growth (+2.20% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.56T
CPI – All Items (+4.02% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-09-01
Unemployment Rate 4.2% (+2.44pp MoM)
US National Debt $40.40T (+8.9B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-10-19