Equities sold off modestly today, with the Dow leading losses at -1.22% while the Nasdaq showed relative resilience, down just -0.02%. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.99%, sitting right at the psychological 5% threshold as inflation remains sticky at 4.02% YoY. The VIX held steady in the low 19s with the Fear & Greed Index neutral, suggesting measured caution rather than panic.
Watch today: Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield's ability to break through 5% — a sustained push above that level could trigger broader equity weakness and shift market expectations for Fed rate cuts. Watch for any Fed commentary today that might anchor rate expectations.
| Dow Jones (YM=F) | $52,575.00 (+29.00, +0.06%) |
| S&P 500 (ES=F) | $7,664.00 (-7.00, -0.09%) |
| Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) | $29,115.00 (+4.75, +0.02%) |
| Russell 2000 (RTY=F) | $2,785.90 (-7.40, -0.26%) |
| Apple (AAPL) | $347.73 (+0.12, +0.03%) |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $524.51 (-0.40, -0.08%) |
| Amazon (AMZN) | $248.00 (-0.78, -0.31%) |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | $320.21 (-0.94, -0.29%) |
| Meta (META) | $642.62 (+2.52, +0.39%) |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $372.22 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | $210.96 (-0.15, -0.07%) |
| Semiconductors (SMH) | $527.20 (+0.43, +0.08%) |
| Regional Banks (KRE) | $72.46 (+0.01, +0.01%) |
| Materials (XLB) | $51.31 (+0.00, +0.00%) |
| Consumer Staples (XLP) | $88.26 (-0.03, -0.03%) |
| Utilities (XLU) | $42.56 (-0.03, -0.07%) |
| Energy (XLE) | $69.33 (-0.10, -0.14%) |
| Biotech (XBI) | $149.54 (-0.34, -0.23%) |
| Communication Services (XLC) | $105.51 (-0.45, -0.42%) |
| Real Estate (XLRE) | $42.57 (-0.33, -0.77%) |
| Homebuilders (XHB) | $98.38 (-0.91, -0.92%) |
| Industrials (XLI) | $164.62 (-2.04, -1.22%) |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $80,258.00 (-0.12% 24h) |
| Ethereum (ETH) | $2,328.08 (-0.09% 24h) |
| Solana (SOL) | $101.30 (+0.54% 24h) |
| Ripple (XRP) | $1.29 (-0.32% 24h) |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.20 (+0.40% 24h) |
| Fear & Greed | 50 – Neutral |
| US Avg Gas (regular) | $4.284/gal EIA week ending 2026-10-19 |
| US Avg Diesel | $6.276/gal EIA week ending 2026-10-19 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | $101.00 (+0.04, +0.04%) |
| Gold (GC=F) | $4,024.70 (+3.10, +0.08%) |
| Silver (SI=F) | $53.86 (-0.31, -0.56%) |
| USD/JPY | ¥157.36 (+0.55, +0.35%) |
| EUR/USD | 1.1199 (-0.00, -0.04%) |
| US 13-Week T-Bill | 4.032% (+0.010, +0.25%) |
| US 10-Year Treasury | 4.988% (+0.035, +0.71%) |
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 7.32% (-1.08pp MoM)Freddie Mac weekly average |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 | $90K @ 45.5% (-9.0pp vs prev)next: $70K @ 40.5% · vol $159K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in October | $82K @ 54.5% (-27.5pp vs prev)next: $77K @ 39.5% · vol $455K/24h · ends 2026-11-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | $150K @ 25.0% (+22.5pp vs prev)next: $150K @ 18.5% · vol $756/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| How high will Bitcoin get in 2026 | $100K @ 17.5% (-6.0pp vs prev)next: $110K @ 8.5% · vol $8K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 | $80K-$85K @ 15.9% (+1.1pp vs prev)next: $75K-$80K @ 15.3% · vol $231K/24h · ends 2027-01-01 |
| When will Bitcoin hit $150k | Before January 2027 @ 2.0% (+0.5pp vs prev)vol $2K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027 | $200K @ 2.0% (+0.5pp vs prev)vol $230K/24h · ends 2027-01-31 |
| How high will BTC get in October | $88K @ 8.0% (-12.0pp vs prev)next: $90K @ 4.5% · vol $45K/24h · ends 2026-11-08 |
| Eggs, Grade A Large | $2.27/doz (+0.00% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-09-01 |
| Milk, whole | $4.11/gal (-2.91% MoM)BLS monthly · latest: 2026-09-01 |
| CPI – Food at Home | (+2.27% YoY) Grocery inflation · 2026-09-01 |
| Real GDP Growth | (+2.20% QoQ ann.) BEA quarterly · 2026-04-01 · level: $32.56T |
| CPI – All Items | (+4.02% YoY) Headline inflation · 2026-09-01 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% (+2.44pp MoM) |
| US National Debt | $40.44T (+30.7B DoD)US Treasury · as of 2026-10-22 |